Economic Data Forecasts For The Weeks Of March 15 And 22

Here are my forecasts for upcoming economic data.
	Forecast	Prior Observation	Consensus
Week of March 15
March 15
NY Fed Manufacturing Index	12.2	12.1	14.5

March 16
Retail Sales - February	-1.0%	5.3	-0.6
Retail Sales, ex Autos	-0.8	5.9	-0.1

Export Prices - February	1.0%	2.5	1.0
Import Prices	1.2	1.4	1.2

Industrial Production - February	0.3%	0.9	0.4
Manufacturing Output	-0.1	1.0	0.2
Capacity Utilization	75.8	75.6	75.8

Business Inventories - January	0.7%	0.6	0.3
NAHB Index	84	84	83

March 17
Housing Starts - February	1.500M	1.580	1.565
Building Permits	1.650	1.881	1.750

FMOC	0.125%	0.125	0.1

March 18
Initial Unemployment Claims	695K	712	705
Philadelphia Fed Survey	22.0	23.1	23.1

Leading Indicators - February	0.5%	0.5	0.4

Week of March 22
March 22
Chicago Fed National Activity Index - February	0.85	0.66
Existing Home Sales - February	6.490M	6.690	6.530

March 23
Current Account - Q4	-$184.0B	-178.5

New Home Sales - February	850K	923	868
Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index	14	14

March 24
Durable Goods Orders - February	-0.5	3.4	1.3

PMI Manufacturing Flash Index	58.0	58.6
PMI Services Flash Index	60.0	59.8

March 25
GDP - Q4 (f)	4.1	4.1	4.1
Kansas City Fed Manufacturing Index	24	24

March 26
International Trade in Goods - February	-84.8	-84.6
Wholesale (a) - February	1.2	1.3

Personal Income - February	-7.0%	10.5	-6.5
Personal Spending - February	0.0	2.4	0.3
Michigan Consumer Sentiment - March (f)	83.0	83.0	83.0