Economic Data Forecasts For The Weeks Of January 30 and February 6

Forecast

Prior Observation

Consensus

Week ofJanuary 30

January 30

Personal Income - December

0.4%

0.0

0.4

Personal Spending

0.5

0.2

0.5

Pending Home Sales - December

108.0

107.3

107.9

Dallas Fed Manufacturing Index

16.2

15.5

January 31

Employment Cost Index - Q4

0.6%

0.6

0.6

Employment Cost Index - Y/Y

2.4

2.3

S&P Case/Shiller Index - November

Twenty City M/M

-0.1%

0.1

Twenty City M/M - SA

0.7

0.6

0.7

Twenty City Y/Y

5.0

5.1

5.1

Chicago PMI - January

55.0

54.6

54.8

Consumer Confidence

114.0

113.7

113.0

February 1

ADP Employment Survey - January

170K

153

168

ISM (Mfg) - January

55.0

54.7

55.0

ISM Prices

66.2

65.5

Construction Spending - January

0.2%

0.9

0.2

Auto Sales* - January

18.0M

18.43

17.70

*SAAR, as published by Motor Intelligence

February 2

Initial Unemployment Claims

248K

259

253

Productivity - Q4 (p)

0.8%

3.1

1.2

Unit Labor Costs

2.6

0.7

1.8

February 3

Nonfarm Payrolls - January

180K

156

175

Private

165

144

170

Unemployment

4.7%

4.7

4.7

Average Workweek

34.4HR

34.3

34.4

Average Hourly Earnings

0.3%

0.4

0.3

*Core Private equals Private less Medical, Social Assistance, and Temp Services

ISM Services - January

57.6

57.2

57.1

Factory Orders - December

0.0%

-2.4

Durable Goods Orders

-0.4

-4.5

Nondurable Goods Orders

0.4

-0.2

Week of February 6

February 7

International Trade - December

-$46.0B

-45.2

Consumer Credit - December

$20.0B

24.5

February 9

Wholesale Inventories - December

0.4%

1.0

February 10

Export Prices - February

-0.1%

0.3

Import Prices

0.1

0.4

Import Prices, Ex-Petroleum

-0.1

-0.2

Michigan Consumer Sentiment - February (p)

98.5

98.5

Treasury Budget - January

$33.0B

-27.5