Economic Data Forecasts For The Weeks Of February 8 And 15

Here are my forecasts for upcoming economic data.
	Forecast	Prior Observation	Consensus
Week of February 8
February 9
NFIB Small Business Optimism Index - January	98.5	95.9
JOLTS - December	6.400K	6.527

February 10
Consumer Price Index - January	0.1%	0.4	0.3
Core CPI	0.2	0.1	0.2

Wholesale Inventories (f)	0.1%	0.1
Treasury Budget - January	-$625B	-143.6

February 11
Initial Unemployment Claims	750K	779	750

February 12
Michigan Consumer Sentiment - February (p)	81.0	79.0	80.7

Week of February 15
February 16
NY Fed Manufacturing Index	5	3.5

February 17
Retail Sales - January	0.6%	-0.7
Retail Sales, ex Autos	0.8	-1.4
Retail Sales, ex Autos and Gas		-2.1

Producer Price Index - January	0.3%	0.3
Core PPI (PPI ex Food, Energy, Trade Services)	0.2	0.4

Industrial Production - January	0.4%	1.6
Manufacturing Output	0.5	0.9
Capacity Utilization	74.8	74.5

Business Inventories - December	0.3%	0.5

February 18
Housing Starts - January	1.650M	1.669
Building Permits	1.670	1.709

Philadelphia Fed Survey	20.00	26.5

Export Prices - January	1.0%	1.1
Import Prices	1.0	0.9
Import Prices, Ex-Petroleum	0.5	0.4

NAHB Index - February	83	83

February 19
Existing Home Sales - January	6.560M	6.760