Economic Data Forecasts For The Weeks Of December 26 and January 2

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Forecast

Prior Observation

Consensus

Week of December 26

December 27

S&P Case/Shiller Index - October

Twenty City M/M

0.0%

0.1

Twenty City M/M - SA

0.7

0.4

0.5

Twenty City Y/Y

5.1

5.1

5.1

Consumer Confidence

108.5

107.1

108.5

Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index

3.5

4.0

Dallas Fed Manufacturing Index

11.0

10.2

December 28

Pending Home Sale Index - November

110.5

110.0

110.6

December 29

International Trade in Goods - November

-$61.8B

-62.0

-62.0

Initial Unemployment Claims

255K

275

262

December 30

Chicago PMI

56.4

57.8

57.0

Week of January 2

January 3

PMI Manufacturing Index - December

54.2(f)

54.2(p)

ISM (Mfg) - December

53.2

53.2

ISM Prices

55.5

54.5

Construction Spending - December

0.5%

0.5

January 4

Auto Sales* - December

18.0M

17.87

Car Sales

7.3

7.17

Truck Sales

10.7

10.70

*SAAR, as published by Motor Intelligence

January 5

Initial Unemployment Claims

ADP Employment - December

165K

216

PMI Services Index - December

53.4

53.4

ISM Services - December

56.6

57.2

January 6

Nonfarm Payrolls - December

175K

178

Private

165

156

Manufacturing

2

-4

Unemployment

4.7%

4.6

Average Workweek

34.4HR

34.4

Average Hourly Earnings

0.2%

-0.1

International Trade - November

-$42.0B

-42.6

Factory Orders - November

-2.2%

2.7