Here are my forecasts for upcoming economic data.
|
|
||||
|
Forecast |
Prior Observation |
Consensus |
||
|
Week of August 31 |
||||
|
August 31 |
||||
|
Chicago PMI |
51.9 |
51.9 |
||
|
Dallas Fed Manufacturing Index |
0.0 |
-3.0 |
||
|
September 1 |
||||
|
PMI Manufacturing Index - August |
53.6 |
53.6 |
||
|
ISM (Mfg) - August |
54.8 |
54.2 |
54.5 |
|
|
Construction Spending - July |
0.8% |
-0.7 |
1.0 |
|
|
Auto Sales* - August |
14.8 |
14.5 |
||
|
Car Sales |
3.6 |
3.5 |
||
|
Truck Sales |
11.2 |
11.0 |
||
|
September 2 |
||||
|
ADP Employment Report - August |
1000K |
167 |
900 |
|
|
Factory Orders - July |
7.0% |
6.2 |
6.0 |
|
|
Durable Goods Orders |
11.2 |
7.6 |
||
|
Nondurable Goods Orders |
3.8 |
5.0 |
||
|
September 3 |
||||
|
Initial Unemployment Claims |
1000K |
1006.0 |
980 |
|
|
International Trade - July |
-$59.8B |
-50.7 |
-52.7 |
|
|
Productivity - Q2 (r) |
7.3% |
7.3 |
7.4 |
|
|
Unit Labor Costs |
12.2 |
12.2 |
12.1 |
|
|
PMI Services Index - August |
54.8 |
54.8 |
||
|
ISM Services - August |
57.5 |
58.1 |
57.0 |
|
|
September 4 |
||||
|
Nonfarm Payrolls - August |
1550K |
1763 |
1400 |
|
|
Private |
1400 |
1462 |
1250 |
|
|
Manufacturing |
100 |
26 |
50 |
|
|
Unemployment |
10.1% |
10.2 |
9.8 |
|
|
Average Workweek |
34.5HR |
34.5 |
34.5 |
|
|
Average Hourly Earnings |
-0.4% |
0.2 |
0.0 |
|
|
Week of September 7 |
||||
|
September 8 |
||||
|
NFIB Small Business Optimism Index - August |
98.8 |
98.8 |
||
|
Consumer Credit - July |
$14.0B |
8.9 |
||
|
September 9 |
||||
|
JOLTS - July |
6.000M |
5.889 |
||
|
September 10 |
||||
|
Producer Price Index - August |
0.3% |
0.6 |
||
|
PPI Core (less food, energy and trade services) |
0.2 |
0.3 |
||
|
Wholesale Inventories - July |
-0.1% |
-0.1 |
||
|
September 11 |
||||
|
Consumer Price Index - August |
0.3% |
0.6 |
||
|
Core CPI |
0.2 |
0.6 |
||
|
Treasury Budget - August |
-$380.0 |
-63.0 |




Comments
Log in or sign up to join the conversation.