Here are my forecasts for upcoming economic data | |||
Forecast | Prior Observation | ||
Week of May 25 | |||
May 25 | |||
May 26 | |||
Chicago Fed National Activity Index - April | 0.3 | -0.2 | |
S&P Case/Shiller Index - March | |||
Twenty City M/M | 1.4% | 0.4 | |
Twenty City M/M - SA | 0.1 | -0.1 | |
Twenty City Y/Y | 1.1 | 0.9 | |
FHFA Housing Price Index - March | 0.2% | 0.0 | |
Consumer Confidence | 92.0 | 92.8 | |
Dallas Fed Manufacturing Survey | 0.0 | -2.3 | |
May 27 | |||
Richmond Fed Index | 5 | 3 | |
May 28 | |||
Durable Goods Orders - April | 0.5% | 0.8 | |
New Home Sales - April | 670K | 682 | |
Wholesale Inventories - April (a) | 0.6% | 1.4 | |
GDP - Q1(p) | 2.0% | 2.0 | |
PCE | 1.6 | 1.6 | |
Personal Income - April | 0.6% | 0.6 | |
Personal Spending | 0.6 | 0.9 | |
PCE Price Index | 0.5 | 0.7 | |
Core PCE Price Index | 0.2 | 0.3 | |
![]() Photo by Jakub Żerdzicki on Unsplash | |||
May 29 | |||
Chicago PMI - May | 49.7 | 49.2 | |
International Trade in Goods - April | -$89.4B | -87.9 |
Economic Data Forecast For The Week Of May 25
What I expect from the upcoming week's economic data releases.
Disclaimer:
Peter Morici is an economist and professor at the Smith School of Business, University of Maryland, and widely published columnist. He is the five time winner of the MarketWatch best forecaster award.





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