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Here are my forecasts for upcoming economic data. |
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|
Forecast |
Prior Observation |
Consensus |
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|
Week of November 5 |
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|
November 5 |
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|
PMI Services Index |
54.7 |
54.7 |
54.7 |
|
|
ISM Services - October |
59.7 |
61.6 |
59.4 |
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|
ISM Prices |
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|
ISM Business Activity |
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|
November 6 |
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|
JOLTS - September |
7.120M |
7.136 |
7.100 |
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|
November 7 |
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|
Consumer Credit - September |
$17.0B |
20.1 |
16.5 |
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|
November 8 |
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|
Initial Unemployment Claims |
214K |
214.0 |
213 |
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|
FMOC |
2.125% |
2.125 |
2.125 |
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|
November 9 |
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|
Producer Price Index - October |
0.3% |
0.2 |
0.2 |
|
|
PPI less food, energy and trade services |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.2 |
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|
Wholesale Inventories - September |
0.3% |
0.3 |
0.3 |
|
|
Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index (p) |
98.5 |
98.6 |
98.0 |
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|
Week of November 12 |
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November 13 |
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NFIB |
108.0 |
107.9 |
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|
Treasury Budget - October |
-120.0B |
119.1 |
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November 14 |
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|
Consumer Price Index - October |
0.3% |
0.1 |
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|
Core CPI |
0.2 |
0.1 |
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|
November 15 |
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Philadelphia Fed Survey |
20.0 |
22.2 |
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Retail Sales - October |
0.6% |
0.1 |
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|
Retail Sales, ex Autos |
0.5 |
-0.1 |
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|
NY Fed Manufacturing Index |
20.7 |
21.1 |
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|
Export Prices - October |
0.0% |
0.0 |
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Import Prices |
0.0 |
0.5 |
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Business Inventories - August |
0.3% |
0.5 |
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|
November 16 |
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Industrial Production - October |
0.3% |
0.3 |
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|
Capacity Utilization |
78.3 |
78.1 |
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|
Manufacturing |
0.3 |
0.2 |
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Economic Data And Forecasts For The Weeks Of November 5 And 12
Here are my forecasts for upcoming economic data including such important releases as Consumer Credit, Producer Price Index and Retail Sales.
Peter Morici is an economist and professor at the Smith School of Business, University of Maryland, and widely published columnist. He is the five time winner of the MarketWatch best forecaster award. Follow him on Twitter @PMorici1.




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