Economic Data And Forecasts For The Weeks Of November 5 And 12

Here are my forecasts for upcoming economic data including such important releases as Consumer Credit, Producer Price Index and Retail Sales.

Here are my forecasts for upcoming economic data.

     
 

Forecast

Prior Observation

Consensus

 

Week of November 5

       

November 5

       

PMI Services Index

54.7

54.7

54.7

 
         

ISM Services - October

59.7

61.6

59.4

 

ISM Prices

       

ISM Business Activity

       
         

November 6

       

JOLTS - September

7.120M

7.136

7.100

 
         

November 7

       

Consumer Credit - September

$17.0B

20.1

16.5

 
         

November 8

       

Initial Unemployment Claims

214K

214.0

213

 

FMOC

2.125%

2.125

2.125

 
         

November 9

       

Producer Price Index - October

0.3%

0.2

0.2

 

PPI less food, energy and trade services

0.2

0.4

0.2

 
         

Wholesale Inventories - September

0.3%

0.3

0.3

 

Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index (p)

98.5

98.6

98.0

 
         

Week of November 12

       

November 13

       

NFIB

108.0

107.9

   

Treasury Budget - October

-120.0B

119.1

   
         

November 14

       

Consumer Price Index - October

0.3%

0.1

   

Core CPI

0.2

0.1

   
         

November 15

       

Philadelphia Fed Survey

20.0

22.2

   
         

Retail Sales - October

0.6%

0.1

   

Retail Sales, ex Autos

0.5

-0.1

   
         

NY Fed Manufacturing Index

20.7

21.1

   
         

Export Prices - October

0.0%

0.0

   

Import Prices

0.0

0.5

   
         

Business Inventories - August

0.3%

0.5

   
         

November 16

       

Industrial Production - October

0.3%

0.3

   

Capacity Utilization

78.3

78.1

   

Manufacturing

0.3

0.2

   

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