Economic Data And Forecasts For The Weeks Of November 13 And November 20

Here are my forecasts for upcoming economic data.

Forecast

Prior Observation

Consensus

Week of November 13

November 13

Treasury Budget - October

-$60.0B

8.0

-58.1

November 14

Producer Price Index - October

0.1%

0.4

0.1

PPI less food, energy and trade services

0.2

0.2

November 15

Consumer Price Index - October

0.2%

0.5

0.1

Core CPI

0.2

0.1

0.2

Retail Sales - October

0.1%

1.6

0.1

Retail Sales, ex Autos

0.4

1.0

0.2

Retail Sales, ex Autos and Gas

0.5

0.5

Retail Sales, Autos

NY Fed Manufacturing Index

26.0

30.2

26.3

Business Inventories - August

0.1%

0.7

0.2

November 16

Initial Unemployment Claims

233K

239

234

Philadelphia Fed Survey

23.0

27.9

24.0

Export Prices - October

0.5%

0.8

0.5

Import Prices

0.6

0.7

0.6

Industrial Production - October

0.5%

0.3

0.5

Capacity Utilization

76.4

76.0

76.3

Manufacturing

0.2

0.1

0.2

NAHB Index

69

68

68

November 17

Housing Starts - October

1.170M

1.127M

1.180

Building Permits

1.240

1.215

1.24

Kansas City Fed Manufacturing Index

23

23

Week of November 20

November 20

Leading Indicators

0.3%

-0.1

0.3

November 21

Chicago Fed National Activity Index - October

0.20

0.17

Existing Home Sales - October

5.410M

5.390

5.400

November 22

Durable Goods Sales - October

0.7%

2.0

0.8

Initial Unemployment Claims

Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index - Nov (r)

97.8

97.8

November 23

Thanksgivng