Economic Data And Forecasts For The Weeks Of Feb. 5 And Feb.12

Here are my forecasts for the weeks of February 5 and 12 including such important releases as JOLTS- Decmber, Consumer Price Index and Business Inventories.

 Here are my forecasts for the weeks of February 5 and 12.

 

Forecast

Prior Observation

Consensus

 

Week of February 5

       

February 5

       

PMI Services Index - January

53.3

53.3

53.3

 
         

ISM Services - January

57.0

55.9

56.2

 
         

February 6

       

International Trade - December

-$51.8B

-50.5

-51.9

 

JOLTS - December

5.900

5.879

5.900

 
         

February 7

       

Consumer Credit - December

$20.0B

28.0

20.0

 
         

February 8

       

Initial Unemployment Claims

235K

230

235

 
         

February 9

       

Wholesale Inventories - December

0.2%

0.2

0.2

 
         

Week of February 12

       

February 12

       

Treasury Budget - January

$57.0B

-23.2

   
         

February 14

       

Consumer Price Index - January

0.3%

0.1

   

Core CPI

0.1

0.3

   
         

Retail Sales - January

0.4%

0.4

   

Retail Sales, ex Autos

0.5

0,4

   

Retail Sales, ex Autos and Gas

0.4

0.4

   
         

Business Inventories - December

0.3%

0.4

   
         

February 15

       

Philadelphia Fed Survey

24.7

22.2

   
         

Producer Price Index - January

0.3%

-0.1

   

Core PPI (PPI ex Food, Energy, Trade Services)

0.1

-0.1

   
         

NY Fed Manufacturing Index

17.7

17.7

   
         

Industrial Production - January

0.2%

0.9

   

Manufacturing Output

0.3

0.1

   

Capacity Utilization

78.1

77.9

   
         

NAHB Index - February

73

72

   
         

February 16

       

Housing Starts - January

1.210M

1.192

   

Building Permits

1.300

1.302

   
         

Export Prices - February

0.3%

0.1

   

Import Prices

0.6

-0.1

   
         
 

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