An Early Look At The 2028 Presidential Election

The 2026 Midterms Changed Everything

The 2028 Election Map Just Broke Wide Open

The Wall Street Journal reports The 2028 Election Map Just Broke Wide Open

The wave election that gave Democrats control of Congress and a majority of governor’s offices is creating another big benefit for the party: new pathways for assembling the states needed to win the presidency in 2028.
The election outcomes in Iowa, Ohio, North Carolina and Texas have scrambled the early thinking among both parties about how to garner the 270 Electoral College votes needed to win the White House, and they signal that the 2028 battleground is sure to expand beyond the six states that have been the main arena since President Trump first ran in 2016.
In addition, Democrats won the races for governor in all six of the familiar presidential swing states, those that have shifted between the parties at least once since 2016. Those include the three northern industrial states of Pennsylvania, Michigan and Wisconsin, and the three Sunbelt states of Georgia, Arizona and Nevada.
“The election was a game-changer,” said Jeff Rusnak, an Ohio Democrat and veteran of presidential and statewide campaigns dating to 1988. “It opens up a variety of paths for Democrats.” Kentucky Gov. Andy Beshear, a possible 2028 Democratic presidential candidate, called it the “best map for Democrats in decades.”
Alex Conant, a Republican consultant who led communications for Marco Rubio’s 2016 presidential campaign, said North Carolina and Georgia now look like lean-blue states, and that his party can’t take Texas and South Carolina for granted. “There are going to be more swing states in 2028 than we have seen in a really, really long time,” he said.
Republicans are particularly worried about their prospects in Texas, which carries 40 electoral votes, the largest cache after California. Republicans there lost every statewide race this week.
“If the Republican Party doesn’t have Texas as an anchor, then we are not going to be viable nationally going forward,” warned Gov. Ron DeSantis of Florida in a postelection press conference. He called Texas “the crown jewel of Republican politics.”

Republicans Cannot Win Without Texas

Republicans cannot win without Texas.

And Trump is going out of his way to lose Texas with the appointment of Stephen Miller, the architect of Trump’s ICE Gestapo tactics.

Further backlash against Trump will be swift and severe.

Mish’s Bottom Line

If Stephen Miller is around for more than a year, Democrats get a trifecta sweep in 2028.