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Understanding The Inverted Yield Curve As A Recession Indicator
Article By: Andrew Stotz Friday, October 4, 2019 4:17 AM EDT
The level of inversion of the yield curve is one of the most powerful predictors of future economic growth, inflation, and recessions.
In this article: TNX
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E The Derivatives Monster Creates A Bull From Capital, Not Labor
Article By: Gary Anderson Wednesday, October 2, 2019 6:53 PM EDT
Siphoning off capital takes place as interest rates generally decline, and it is a dangerous game.
In this article: TNX, TLT
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With Economic Data Mixed, Why Are Stocks So Strong?
Article By: MoneyShow.com Monday, September 9, 2019 1:58 AM EDT
Overall, the week's market internals were strong, with 2158 stocks advancing and just 880 stocks declining.
In this article: SPX, NYA, TNX
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Dovish Fed? So Why Are Yields Breaking Out?
Video By: Robert Desmond Sunday, July 14, 2019 10:43 PM EDT
The Federal Reserve chairman was said to be dovish. Why then are yields on the 10 year treasury breaking out?
In this video: TNX, TIPS
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Trading This Market Without Technical’s Can Be Hazardous To Your Wealth
Article By: Gary Berman Friday, July 12, 2019 8:19 AM EDT
Our short term overshoot level @ 3007.31 and our longer term overshoot level @ 3081 remain our upside targets.
In this article: IBB, QQQ, IWM, OIL, XLF, SPX, TNX, BITCOMP
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The Morning Fibocall For July 11, 2019
Article By: Gary Berman Thursday, July 11, 2019 8:29 AM EDT
Our short term overshoot level @ 3007.31 and our longer term overshoot level @ 3081 remain our upside targets.
In this article: IBB, QQQ, IWM, OIL, XLF, SPX, TNX, BITCOMP
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The Morning Fibocall For July 10, 2019
Article By: Gary Berman Wednesday, July 10, 2019 8:49 AM EDT
Our short term overshoot level @ 3007.31 and our longer term overshoot level @ 3081 are still our LT upside targets.
In this article: TNX, IBB, QQQ, IWM, OIL, XLF, SPX, BITCOMP
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Greenback Breaks Down
Article By: Marc Chandler Sunday, June 23, 2019 8:53 AM EDT
The dollar fell against all the world's currencies last week. While most G10 central banks have what can be considered easing biases, the dollar is most vulnerable. Let's take a closer look at currencies in general as well as gold, oil and more.
In this article: FXE, CNY, FXA, FXB, FXC, FXY, USO, UUP, SPX, TNX
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Global Growth Slows But Fed To The Rescue
Video By: TheoTrade Saturday, June 22, 2019 4:08 PM EDT
The Fed drives rates to multi-year lows and the stock market to all -highs. In this crucial weekend video newsletter we look at the opportunity this creates. Watch this video newsletter now so you don't miss out next week.
In this video: TNX, XLF, GLD, SPX, SPY, VIX
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Dovish Tone From Central Banks Lifts Markets
Video By: Russell Investments Friday, June 21, 2019 9:18 PM EDT
Quantitative Investment Strategist Dr. Kara Ng and Rob Cittadini, director, Americas institutional, discuss the recent rise in markets, deteriorating economic data and newfound optimism surrounding the China-US trade war.
In this video: TNX, SPX
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Down, Down, Down: 10 Year Yields In Advanced Countries
Article By: Menzie Chinn Tuesday, June 18, 2019 9:55 AM EDT
Perusing the last issue of the Economist, I noted that among advanced economies, only Greece (180 bps), Spain (87 bps), Australia (133 bps), South Korea (112 bps) and Chile (108 bps) had larger declines in the ten year yields than the US (81 bps).
In this article: TNX
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Technically Speaking: COT Positioning – Volatility, Oil, Dollar, & Rates
Article By: Lance Roberts Tuesday, June 18, 2019 8:10 AM EDT
One of the more stunning movements in the market was in interest rates which have fallen sharply in recent months as “deflation” and “economic weakness” have become points of concern for the Federal Reserve.
In this article: TNX, OIL
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The Last Two Times The Fed Cut Rates Into A Downturn, Stocks Dropped ~50%
Article By: Graham Summers Saturday, June 15, 2019 9:19 PM EDT
While everyone else is focusing on whether or not the Fed will hike rates next week… I’m much more concerned about what the Fed does when it realizes that rate cuts won’t save the markets.
In this article: TNX, SPX
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President Trump Is Now Part Of The Fed’s “Pro-Inflation PR Campaign.”
Article By: Graham Summers Thursday, June 13, 2019 2:15 PM EDT
The Fed is now in the process of trying to “patch” over the bursting bubble, to stop the financial system from experiencing another crisis.
In this article: TNX
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Treasury Market’s Inflation Outlook Tumbles
Article By: James Picerno Thursday, June 13, 2019 9:01 AM EDT
The Treasury market continues to downgrade US inflation expectations, which suggests that the case is strengthening for a rate cut by the Federal Reserve.
In this article: TNX
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The Fed Blew Up The Everything Bubble… Now It’s Trying To Patch The Leak
Article By: Graham Summers Wednesday, June 12, 2019 2:17 PM EDT
The Fed blew up the Everything Bubble… and now it’s trying to “patch” it back together.
In this article: TNX, SPX, HYG
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