Ivan Kitov | TalkMarkets | Page 1
Lead Researcher at Institute for the Geospheres' Dynamics, Russian Academy of Sciences
Contributor's Links: Economics as Classical Mechanics
I am a Doctor of Physics and Mathematics, Lead Researcher at the Institute for the Geospheres' Dynamics, Russian Academy of Sciences. Founding member of the Society for the Study of Economic Inequality. Published three monographs in economics and finances: Deterministic mechanics of ...more

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Deflation Is The Next Challenge For The USA
In December 2022, a deflationary period started in the USA. Formally, both the PPI (Final Demand) and CPI fell.
A Significant Drop In The Annual CPI Inflation Rate Is Expected In The USA
The annual CPI inflation rate is defined by the total change in the Consumer Price Index and the CPI value one year ago. With growing CPI, a constant annual change in the CPI produces decreasing inflation rate due to the increasing denominator.
FTX: Worse Than Enron!
In this video Ivan Kitov delves into the FTX scandal. A juicy good listen.
The Share Of Labor Compensation In GDP Has Been In A Catastrophic Decline Since 2000
One of the most damaging economic phenomena observed in the USA in the 21st century is the decline in the labor force participation rate and the employment/population ratio.
Why Ghana Is Cutting Trade Of Raw Cocoa With Europe
This is the naked truth. Europe needs raw materials for its industries. Developed countries need industry for faster development. Without military violence and crude force, developed countries will win the game.
Inflation In The USA: GDP Deflator In Details
The most recent GDP estimates showed a 1.4 percent real GDP decline in 2022Q1. The real GDP estimate is the nominal GDP less GDP deflator, dGDP.
Real GDP Per Capita Growth: Any Blink By Blinken Will Be Considered As Fear
The evolution of the annual increment of the real GDP per capita in the USA can be represented as stochastic fluctuation around the mean value of $648 between 1960 and 2020.
How Many Escalation Steps Russia Needs To Ruin US Stock Markets
The current escalation of military confrontation between US and Russia has many non-military dimensions. One of the most dangerous for the US is the collapse of the stock market.
The US Recovery Is Highly Likely Severely Overestimated
The estimate of actual GDP growth is simple if one extracts the bill money and actual fall in economic activity – 3.5% of the nominal GDP. The original 22% is likely overestimates but the fall is definitely below 15%.
On Secular Relative Impoverishment Of Young People
The problem with young people's income deficiency attracts more and more attention from media and politicians.
The Mean Income Gap Between White Males And Black Females Grows
The relative values are important and demonstrate some convergence between various population groups but they are partially misleading since the absolute difference in mean income might be more painful.
Spain To Fail
After a period of active growth between 2013 and 2019, Spain experienced the worst single-year economic fall.
German Real GDP Per Capita Fell By 5.2% In 2020. Not Bad Relative To France And The UK
Germany is one of a few gainers in the EU. The real GDP fall was much smaller than in France and Austria. 
Economically, Italy Dropped Into The Mid-1990s
The Italian economy has clear long-term economic and financial problems.
Epic-Epic Fall In The French Economy In 2020
In economic terms, France is one of many losers in the EU.
Double-Digit Fall In The British Economy In 2020
The UK demonstrated extreme economic failure in 2020. The COVID-19 situation in 2021, however, gives off some positive signals due to the accelerating rate of vaccination.
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