XRP Price Prediction: Could ETF Approval Trigger Massive Rally? Analysts Weigh In
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XRP currently trades at $2.81 with a market capitalization of $167.35 billion, making it the fourth-largest cryptocurrency. The token has declined 1.3% in the past 24 hours despite growing institutional interest following regulatory clarity.
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Ripple’s $125 million SEC settlement in August marked a turning point for XRP. The agreement officially classified the token as a non-security for public market transactions. This regulatory breakthrough removed previous legal uncertainties that had constrained institutional adoption.
The settlement has unleashed institutional interest that was previously dormant. Major asset managers have responded quickly to the regulatory clarity. Sixteen ETF applications have been filed by industry leaders including Grayscale, Bitwise, and WisdomTree.
Market predictions suggest an 87% likelihood of ETF approval. This reflects growing confidence in XRP’s regulatory standing among institutional investors. The approval probability represents a dramatic shift from previous uncertainty.
BlackRock’s involvement in Ripple’s upcoming Swell 2025 conference has intensified ETF speculation. The conference takes place November 4-5 in New York City. Maxwell Stein, BlackRock’s Director of Digital Assets, will speak at the event.
🚨BREAKING: @Ripple confirmed that BlackRock will join the upcoming “Swell Conference 2025“ in New York City! #XRP pic.twitter.com/fxd72DokBL
— JackTheRippler ©️ (@RippleXrpie) September 5, 2025
The agenda shows Stein will discuss tokenized assets with Rory Callagy of Moody’s. However, it does not confirm whether BlackRock will address an XRP ETF directly. BlackRock already offers ETFs linked to Bitcoin and Ethereum but has held back from XRP.
Real-World Utility Drives Adoption
XRP’s competitive advantage lies in its proven real-world applications. Ripple’s On-Demand Liquidity solution cuts cross-border payment costs by up to 70%. Settlement times are reduced to mere seconds compared to traditional banking.
This practical utility has attracted over 300 financial institutions. These organizations are exploring XRP for international transfers and treasury management. The network offers compelling benefits with minimal transaction fees.
XRP transaction settlement times average 3-5 seconds. This speed advantage makes it attractive for DeFi applications. Ripple launched an EVM-compatible sidechain to expand XRP’s ecosystem further.
The sidechain allows Ethereum-based applications to leverage XRP’s speed and cost advantages. This development broadens XRP’s potential use cases beyond traditional payments.
Market Analysis and Price Targets
Analysts anticipate XRP reaching $5-10 by 2025 based on ETF approval scenarios. Optimistic projections extend to $20 over the longer term. ETF approval could trigger initial inflows of $5-8 billion in the first month alone.
2025 could be $XRP biggest catalyst yet
— X Finance Bull (@Xfinancebull) September 6, 2025
✅ SEC settlement done
✅ 16 ETF filings in motion
✅ $5–8B inflows projected in month one
✅ 300+ banks already exploring ODL$XRP is not waiting for adoption.
It’s waiting for approval. pic.twitter.com/f3fxM8BzcD
This would position XRP alongside Bitcoin ETFs which manage $50 billion in assets. Ethereum ETFs are projected to reach $27.6 billion by mid-2025. XRP could achieve similar institutional adoption levels.
A 60% rally similar to Bitcoin’s ETF-driven gains would push XRP to $4.50. This mirrors Bitcoin’s performance following institutional inflows through ETF products.
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Source: TradingView
Technical analysis shows XRP trading within a descending channel on the 4-hour chart. The token sits below the 50-EMA at $2.81 with the 200-EMA at $2.87 capping upside moves.
The RSI reads 46, indicating weak momentum without bullish divergence. Key support lies at $2.76, with further support at $2.70 and $2.62. For bulls to regain control, XRP must clear $2.87 with conviction.
XRP has 59.6 billion coins in circulation out of a 100 billion maximum supply, with daily trading volume reaching $5.55 billion as institutional interest continues building around potential ETF approval.
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