Weekly SPX & Gold Price Cycle Report

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Today I want to talk to you about the SP500 because it’s on the verge of making a very significant move. We could experience a 15% rally or a 15% decline and it could be just around the corner.

Let me recap on both the short-term top this month, and then a look at the bigger picture of what happened last October through December and if we are going to see that happen again. There is the possibility we get a massive rally if the market breaks to new highs. The market is loaded and ready for action. Whichever way it breaks will have a strong impact on precious metals and bonds. 

21 DAYS THEN A BREAKDOWN?

Let’s look at the SP500 for the last 6 months in the chart below. If we were to just draw support trendlines across the lows and a resistance trend line across the highs, you can see we still have some room for the SP500 to work itself higher and still be within the pattern.

Do you see the blue line that is on the chart? You will notice it follows price very closely and you’ll notice the purple line on the hard-right edge as well. This purple line is the forecasted projected cycle price that we are anticipating for the SP500 over the next 45 days.

I should note that as the market evolves and moves this price cycle forecast will change, but it gives us a good idea of current cycles in the market and where the price should go next.

Overall, we’re all you’re looking for SP500 to struggle to move higher because it acts as resistance. If resistance holds then it is likely the market breaks down and tests the August or September Low.

S&P 500 OCTOBER – DECEMBER MARKET CRASH TO REPEAT?

Let’s step back and look at last year’s price action. You can see that the cycle analysis is pointing to potentially another market crash down to those December low. If that is the case then it could be the start of something very significant like a new bear market.

So that’s where we’re at in terms of the SP500 and at this point, we’ve got another 21 days or so before the SP500 should start breaking below our white trendline support level.

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