WTI Crude Oil And Natural Gas Forecast - Friday, March 30
WTI Crude Oil
The WTI Crude Oil market had a choppy session on Thursday, going back and forth during the day, essentially doing nothing. The market is trying to stabilize a bit, but I think that we have a couple of noisy days ahead of us. There seems to be more of an upward pressure in this market, so I think that the uptrend line on the daily chart should continue to offer psychological support, perhaps even structural support. There does seem to be a significant amount of resistance at the $66.66 level, so if we were to break out above there, the market should then be free to go to the $70 handle. I look at short-term pullbacks as potential buying opportunities, but if we were to break down below the aforementioned daily trend line, then I think that would change everything in this market.
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Natural Gas
Natural gas traders initially sent the market higher during the day on Thursday, reaching towards the $2.75 level. However, we have rolled over since then to show signs of weakness, so I think that the market will continue to bounce around drastically, but I think that the market should continue to go in a very erratic manner. I think that the $2.80 level would be an excellent place to start shorting, and if we get there I am more than willing to do so. Otherwise, if we break down below the bottom of the Wednesday candle, I think that a short-term selling opportunity will have presented itself, as we would then go down to the $2.60 level. The market continues to be bearish overall, so I look at any rally as an opportunity to take advantage of the overabundance of natural gas.
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I know the supply of #naturalgas is keeping a lid on the price, but logistical concerns about shipping it to market are starting to have an affect. Also demand continues to increase. It seems like the market is more or less balanced.