Why We Have 28 Days Before Markets Nosedive

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Pull up the S&P 500 chart right now. Look at December.

Does it look familiar?

It should. Because we're watching a carbon copy of exactly what happened last year.

That’s why I’m going to show you how to start planning NOW.

This is the same pattern… the same manipulation…the same window dressing games…the same algorithmic buying that ignores fundamental completely.


Last December played out exactly like this. Then January hit. 

The market popped briefly. But by February and March, we blew out. 

If history repeats the way patterns suggest, you're looking at the same sequence ahead.

Here’s how to prepare for what comes next.


Why December Plays By Different Rules

Fund managers need decent fourth quarter numbers. They need bonuses. They need to call clients in January and say here's your return, give us another million to manage.

So bad news comes out and we buy. Good news comes out and we buy. No news comes out and we buy. There are no downticks. The market doesn't trade on fundamentals in December. It trades on performance gaming.

The technical setup confirms this mechanical behavior. Look at the indicators right now.


You're above the zero line. You're above the signal line. The slope integrity of the MACD points up. Stochastic sits on the top side of the range. RSI hangs around 56.

Five simultaneous buy signals. Don asked me this morning if I was surprised the market rallied. Why would I be surprised? The algorithms don't care about fundamentals in December.

Every 10 point dip gets bought immediately. The selloff lasts three to five minutes maximum. That mechanical precision is the clearest sign of algorithmic control. I've traded professionally for 38 years. I've never seen a market this bullish in December.

But this only works while the machines keep pressing buy.


When The Pattern From Last Year Reasserts

December 2023 and December 2024 are virtually identical. We got stuck in a vault box. Nobody wanted to sell. Everybody wanted to bid. Nothing mattered.

Then starting in January last year, we began to back off. We popped. Then starting in February and March we blew out.

I expect a repetition of what you're going to see next year. Because January 1st brings a change in regime. A change in narrative. A change in how the market operates.

If you're not out of this market by December 31st, I think you're screwed. If you don't rotate, you're going to get caught looking.

You can't live forever on hope and Christmas rallies and performance gaming. Once we get past December 31st, the game changes. The first week of January, you go sideways. You flatten out. All of a sudden every dip that was getting bought just doesn't work.

Nobody has to hold up the market for window dressing anymore.


Position Before The Transition

Don't fight this through December. The powers that be don't want this down. They want to lock in their gains so they can get their fourth Ferrari this year.

But recognize what's actually holding this elevated. Not fundamentals. Not earnings. Algorithmic programs defending mathematical levels because that's their programming.

When that programming changes in January, the support disappears instantly.

The comparison isn't theory. It's on your screen right now. Two Decembers moving identically. The question isn't whether January changes. The question is whether you'll position ahead of that change or get caught in the reversal with everyone else.


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