Why Facebook Is Looking Less And Less Appealing

Have you heard of Facebook? If you haven’t, chances are that you’re living under a rock. After all, Facebook(NASDAQ:FB) is the world’s largest social network. Recently, the company announced that it saw 1 billion sign ins in a single day. So, if you take a brief look at the stock, it seems like one that’s likely to see long term growth. However, if you take a more detailed look at the stock, it’s easy to see why it’s not going to experience such heavy gains for much longer. Today, we’ll talk about why I’m starting to lose faith in Facebook’s stock and what you can do to take advantage of the trends.

Why Facebook Is Becoming Less Attractive For Investors

In my opinion, there are a couple of factors that are playing a role in Facebook’s loss of luster. Here they are…

  • Market Saturation – First and foremost, there’s no discounting the incredible feat that Facebook has accomplished. In a single day, 1 billion people signed into the social network. That’s one sign in for every seven people on earth! However, investors are looking for growth; and that’s something that Facebook may not be able to achieve for much longer. The reality is that Facebook is starting to become a victim of its own success. The company has saturated the market so heavily that it’s hard to expect exorbitant growth in user data moving forward; and since users generate revenue, this could eventually lead to a plateau in revenue. Unfortunately, a revenue plateau would do nothing good for the stock.
  • Valuation – Another key factor here is the company’s valuation. According to NASDAQ, Facebook is currently trading at 65.1 times earnings last year. The stock is also trading at 62.31 times what analysts are expecting to see in earnings this year and 43.62 times what analysts are expecting to see in earnings next year. This exorbitant valuation is something that we would expect to see on a heavy growth stock. However, with the market so saturated, it’s going to be hard to maintain heavy growth. Simply put, Facebook isn’t anywhere near worth what investors are currently paying for it.

What We Can Expect To See Moving Forward

It’s important to remember that investors move the market; and sometimes, they are anything but rational. With that said, investors absolutely love Facebook at the moment; and as a result, we’re likely to see more gains ahead. However, at some point, incredible market saturation and high valuations are going to get under the skin of investors and we are going to see declines. Also, with current market conditions, investors are likely going to balance their portfolios for less risk; and that’s likely to take a toll on Facebook as well, considering the fact that it’s a high valued stock. With all of that said, while we are likely to see spikes in the upward direction, I think that we’re also likely to see downtrends overall moving forward.

How To Make Gains From Facebook

Facebook has been trending downwards since the end of the July there is some room here for binary options traders to make some potentially make some gains by take Put positions and following the down trend. Best play here is to wait for upticks then take Puts at trend line peaks.

Disclosure: None.

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Dick Kaplan 9 years ago Member's comment

An opinion piece. The author is under the assumption $FB Maxed out. They have been doing the same thing to $AAPL, waiting for it to fall.