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Buried in a modest gain of 41,000 jobs in the December ADP Report is a sobering new trend in white collar employment.

Professional and Business Services Details

• April: +1,000
  May: -13,000
  June: -57,000
  July: +9,000
  August: -1,000
  September: -6,000
  October: -22,000
  November: -18,000
  December: -29,000

Month-Over-Month Change in White Collar Jobs

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Month-Over-Month Change in White Collar Jobs Detail

• April: +15,000
  May: +8,000
  June: -63,000
  July: +46,000
  August: -14,000
  September: -6,000
  October: -30,000
  November: -48,000
  December: -45,000

Month-Over-Month Change in Professional and Business Services + Information

• April: -9,000
  May: -9,000
  June: -51,000
  July: +18,000
  August: -14,000
  September: -5,000
  October: -40,000
  November: -39,000
  December: -41,000

Net jobs from professional and business services plus information was negative for 8 of the last 9 months.

Month-Over-Month Change in Jobs by Category Detail

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Month-Over-Month Change in Manufacturing Jobs

• April: +3,000
  May: -6,000
  June: +18,000
  July: +7,000
  August: -18,000
  September: +2,000
  October: -4,000
  November: -18,000
  December: -5,000

Job Synopsis

Manufacturing is in a big slump, small business employment is dismal, and now white collar jobs are weakening dramatically.

The white collar weakness is related to AI.

Small business weakness and manufacturing weakness are related to tariffs and a generally weakening economy.

But hey, Trump says this is the greatest economy in history.

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