What The Federal Reserve Got Wrong About The Labor Market

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Fed is going to slow down because things are uncertain - perhaps as soon as December.

Goods inflation is slowing down but they are worried about labor costs.

The labor market is sort of the hurdle because of the rising cost of services - haircuts, healthcare etc. - which are primarily driven by wage costs

The Fed sees a gap in the labor market which they say is driven by [driven by retirement (the gap in labor-force participation mostly explained by pandemic-era retirements), immigration, and slow growth in working age population] and the obvious solution to that would be increasing workforce participation rates but the fed can’t fix that.

Video Length: 00:06:15

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Disclaimer: These views are not investment advice, and should not be interpreted as such. These views are my own, and do not represent my employer. Trading has risk. Big risk. Make sure that you can ...

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