U.S. Recession Risk In Second Half Of 2025 Is Very High

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In this interview, Samantha LaDuc and Jason Burack of discuss the intricate dynamics of recent and anticipated market trends, focusing on fiscal dominance, policy interventions, and macroeconomic uncertainties.

They delve into 2024’s equity market performance, influenced by liquidity, policy coordination, and the rise of AI-driven tech investments while expressing caution about potential headwinds in 2025, including recession risks, rising yields, and the impact of geopolitical and trade policies.

Samantha emphasizes the challenges of sustaining economic growth amidst tightening credit conditions, concentration risks in equities, and the evolving role of assets like Bitcoin and commodities in a speculative market environment.

The conversation highlights the complexity of balancing short-term optimism with longer-term economic and financial vulnerabilities.

Running Length: 01:18:28


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