US Economy Is Collapsing In June, It’s The Virus, Mo Ron

The red states had every opportunity to learn from the experience of that. And in fact, initially they were very successful at minimizing the spread of the virus when they reluctantly locked down.

But the governors of those states chose not to learn the lessons of using strict measures to control the virus. They ignored warnings of epidemiologists who cautioned about what would happen if they reopened too early. These governors misinterpreted their low case numbers, in some cases deliberately. They were ideologically predisposed to getting people back to work while taking the risk that more people would get sick and die.

So they immediately went back to a laissez faire approach that is now failing miserably. Let’s trust individuals to do the right thing so that we can all get back to work.

So much for that idea.

Cases are soaring, and hospitalizations are following. This will have chilling effects on business in those areas. Actual sickness, death, and rational fear, particularly among people over 60 with risk factors, will cause big cutbacks in spending. That will trigger more layoffs and suppress hiring, to say nothing of businesses that will need to close simply because workers are getting sick.

Like those restaurants in Jacksonville last week that Governor Mo Ron DeSantis told to reopen at full capacity. What the fuck did he expect?

These governors aren’t just evil, they’re dumb as hell too. They are killing their own political base now. How does that help their political fortunes, to say nothing of economic activity? If nothing else, Mo Ron, you need to keep the bars and nightclubs closed. Otherwise, every Friday and Saturday night they’ll be running Superspreader Specials.

The effect of rising numbers of cases will be similar to the effect of lockdowns, only without the benefit of suppressing the virus.

The worsening effects would be ongoing until herd immunity is reached. According to Johns Hopkins epidemiologists, 70% of a population needs to be infected before herd immunity is achieved. In the 3 states I highlighted in the chart above, where cases are growing rapidly, positive test results are now at a high of 12% in Arizona, and just 7.3% in Texas, and 5.9% in Florida.

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