Strong Cash Saves Nat Gas Again

May natural gas prices recovered some of yesterday's losses as strong cash prices early in the day pulled the May contract off its lows. Prices ended up settling up a bit less than a percent on the day. 

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natural gas commodity weather

The signature of a cash-led rally was clearly seen today with gains strongest at the front of the natural gas strip.

natural gas commodity weather

The K/M May/June spread accordingly continued its rally higher. 

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natural gas commodity weather

Before the cash rally this morning though prices moved within one tick of the $2.62 level we had been watching, which we alerted subscribers to this morning in our Morning Text Message Alert. 

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natural gas commodity weather

Meanwhile, weather continues to help keep cash prices elevated and has contributed to this large rally in the K/M spread. The result is that K/M is the second narrowest it has been this far from expiry since 2012, a testament to limited storage levels and very impressive April cold. 

natural gas commodity weather

This was seen in our Morning Update, as even though overnight model guidance lost a bit of demand heating demand far above seasonal averages remains likely into the final week of April. 

natural gas commodity weather

 

Disclaimer: To begin receiving both our technical and fundamental analysis of the natural gas market on a daily basis, and view our various models breaking down weather by natural gas demand ...

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Bill Wullschleger 7 years ago Member's comment

I am in the process of trying to unravel the mystery of NG and what the catalyst are for pricing swings. I liked your article for it brevity and insights but don’t understand what some of the chart acronyms mean. i.e K8 M8 K/M