SPY: What Now After The Big Post-Election Rally?

black android smartphone turned on screen

Image Source: Unsplash

Many investors may have missed the post-election rally and will be looking to buy on the dips, as investors expect that a Trump policy agenda favoring lower taxes and less regulation may support corporate profits. The S&P 500 jumped 2.5% Wednesday, which was its best post-election day in history, advises Fawad Razaqzada, technical analyst at Trading Candles.

Some 86 names in the S&P 500 hit new all-time highs, making them among the top stock gainers post-election. The Nasdaq 100 hit a new record after rising 2.7% on the session. But there are a few issues that might come into focus now that the dust is settling down.


S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY ) Chart

A graph showing the growth of a stock market  Description automatically generated

Markets were caught off guard by just how quickly the results arrived – not in days, as expected, but in mere hours. With the Senate promptly called for the Republicans, the initial market response began almost immediately in early Asian trading. The Trump Administration, widely regarded as pro-deregulation and keen on tax cuts, sent a clear message that it’s likely to support corporate profitability.

That said, much of the buying has likely already taken place before the election and now in the immediate aftermath. What is more, with the US election risks behind us and a surprisingly straightforward outcome, Trump’s policy agenda remains on hold until 2025 – potentially even late into that year. So, there is plenty of time for the market to focus on other factors driving the markets.

One thing to watch out for is concerns over tariffs, which might hurt sentiment in China and Europe. It could also weigh on sentiment on Wall Street. Another big issue that comes to mind for the markets – and Trump – is the Federal debt limit. This will be reinstated on Jan. 2.

With rising yields, government borrowing at this pace looks unsustainable. How Trump addresses this issue with his plans to borrow even more and cut taxes remains to be seen. Could it trigger a ratings downgrade? This is a big risk that could undermine equities despite all the hype.

Meanwhile, with tech earnings mostly out of the way, there will be even fewer catalysts to drive the markets higher. Investors will be questioning whether the AI hype will continue to power revenue growth for tech companies, or whether we will see a slowdown.


About the Author

Fawad Razaqzada provides retail and professional traders succinct fundamental and technical analysis on his own website at TradingCandles.com. He is an experienced analyst and economist working for leading global FX brokers, most recently at FOREX.com and City Index. A graduate of Brunel University with a degree in economics, Mr. Razaqzada offers premium trade signals to subscribers, and trading education to help shorten the learning curves of developing traders.

He covers a wide range of markets, including forex, commodities, stock indices, and cryptocurrencies. Mr. Razaqzada is an expert at reading price action, which together with his deep understanding of economics and market fundamental allows him to provide a unique style of financial market analysis. His market comments are regularly quoted by the leading financial publications such as Reuters and Market Watch.


More By This Author:

Cisco: A (Relatively) Cheap Way To Profit From AI, Chip Sector Growth
Market Remains Resilient, Despite Domestic And International Risks
Here's The Skinny On The October Jobs Report

Disclosure: © 2024 MoneyShow.com, LLC. All Rights Reserved. Before using this site please read our complete Terms of Service, ...

more
How did you like this article? Let us know so we can better customize your reading experience.

Comments

Leave a comment to automatically be entered into our contest to win a free Echo Show.
Or Sign in with