S&P 500 Snapshot: A Low-Volume FBI Relief Rally

The S&P 500's nine-day sell-off, the longest in nearly 36 years, ended today with a relief rally triggered by the FBI. A letter to Congress on Sunday from FBI Director James Comey reaffirmed its earlier stance on Hillary's email server. Today's pre-election surge of 2.22% wiped out about 70% of that nine-day sell-off.

The 10-year Note closed the session at 1.83%, up four BPs from the previous close.

Instead of our usual snapshot of past five sessions in the S&P 500, here is a 10-day look that includes the complete nine-day sell-off and today's bounce.

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Here's a daily chart of the index. Check out the volume on today's rally ... not much conviction in advance of the election. 

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A Perspective on Drawdowns

Here's a snapshot of sell-offs since the 2009 trough.

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Here is a more conventional log-scale chart with drawdowns highlighted. 

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Here is a linear scale version of the same chart with the 50- and 200-day moving averages. 

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A Perspective on Volatility

For a sense of the correlation between the closing price and intraday volatility, the chart below overlays the S&P 500 since 2007 with the intraday price range. We've also included a 20-day moving average to help identify trends in volatility.

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Disclosure: None.

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Chee Hin Teh 9 years ago Member's comment

thanks for sharing