S&P 500 Snapshot: A 1.45% Pop On Weak Volume

Our benchmark S&P 500 surged at the open, rising to an unusually narrow trading range for the rest of the session. It closed with a 1.45% advance, returning to rally mode after a two-session pause. The index is out of the correction zone, now down only 8.70% from its record close last May. Today's gain came on low volume. The preliminary data at Stockcharts.com shows the second lowest trading volume of 2016.

The yield on the 10-year note closed at 1.77%, up 1 basis point from the previous close.

Here is a snapshot of past five sessions.

S&P 500

Here is a daily chart of the SPY ETF, which gives a better sense of investor participation (or lack thereof) over the past six sessions. Today's volume was the lowest of the year.

S&P 500

A Perspective on Drawdowns

Here's a snapshot of selloffs since the 2009 trough.

S&P 500 Drawdowns

A Perspective on Volatility

For a sense of the correlation between the closing price and intraday volatility, the chart below overlays the S&P 500 since 2007 with the intraday price range. We've also included a 20-day moving average to help identify trends in volatility.

S&P 500 Snapshot

Here is the same chart with the 50- and 200-day moving averages.

S&P 500 MAs

Disclosure: None.

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Trader Jim James 8 years ago Member's comment

Great work - short and sweet, understated elegance. thanks for you work!