Momentum Stocks Saw Large Losses
My Swing Trading Approach
I closed out my position in Netflix (NFLX) yesterday at $358.78 for a +3.6% profit, while also decreasing dramatically the overall long exposure, and increasing my short exposure. I will watch the early morning action to determine which side of the trade I want to add more to. If it can't be determined, I'll do nothing.
Indicators
- Volatility Index (VIX) - Big time pop in the VIX yesterday without showing any sell-off before the end of the day, as has been the case of late, which increases the probability for further upside in the days that follow.
- T2108 (% of stocks trading above their 40-day moving average): A 4.5% decline yesterday that wiped out most of last week's gains. Look for a push from the current reading of 49% down to the 44-45% range.
- Moving averages (SPX): Barely held the 10-day moving average, while testing the 20-day MA and holding so far. Both will be back in play again today. A break would likely result in a retest of the month's lows.
Sectors to Watch Today
Utilities paving the way for a burst higher and out of consolidation from the past two weeks. Materials were strong yesterday but overall the sector remains weak with continued lower-highs on the daily chart. Energy remains in a sideways trading pattern. Industrials perhaps the strongest sector of the month so far. Technology and Discretionary have put in very concerning candles yesterday to potentially establish a lower-high here.
My Market Sentiment
The bulls appear to be losing some of its grip following yesterday's sell-off and broad based profit taking in the tech sector. Most of your momentum stocks saw large losses as well.
S&P 500 Technical Analysis
Current Stock Trading Portfolio Balance
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1 Long Position, 1 Short Position