Market Risk Rises While Health Improves

Over the past week our indicators are showing more risk entering the market while most of our core health indicators are improving. This is a change from the past 18 months where risk entering the market has been associated with deterioration in our core indicators. This signals a change in the character in the market that we should watch closely. Market participants are now starting to show concern about world events and earnings misses. In the past, earnings misses were considered company specific and didn’t have much impact on the market. This is something to keep an eye on.

Since our core indicators are all positive we’re still 100% long in all portfolios. Any changes over the next several weeks will almost certainly come on the back of an “event” or a severe down turn. In the absence of a sharp market decline I doubt we’ll have any changes.

Below is a chart of our core health categories.

140725MarketHealth

Disclosure: None.

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