E Large Cap Best & Worst Report - Tuesday, Dec. 27

  • The best large cap sector is industrial goods.
  • The highest scoring large cap industry is healthcare plans.

Note: Scores have shifted to reflect Q1 seasonality.

The average score in our large cap universe is 64.91. Over the past four weeks, the score averages 68.21. The average large cap stock in our coverage is trading -11.96% below its 52 week high, 4.38% above its 200 dma, has 4.3 days to cover held short, and is expected to grow EPS by 12.36% next year.

The best large cap sectors are industrial goods, technology, basic materials, and financials.Services score in line with the average large cap universe score. Healthcare, consumer goods, and utilities score below average.

After rolling to first quarter seasonality, these are the top and bottom scoring large cap stocks. 

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There are the top baskets for first quarter seasonality over the past 10 years. 

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Here's the first quarter seasonal track record for major market ETFs. 

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The following chart shows historical average score for our large cap universe. 

Healthcare plans (AET, UNH, HUM, CI, ANTM) are the best large cap industry. Lodging (WYN, MAR, H), oil & gas pipelines (WMB, SE), semi ICs (AVGO, SWKS, MRVL), and semi equipment & materials (CREE, AMAT, KLAC, LRCX) are also top scoring. 

In basics, focus on pipelines, refiners (HES, VLO, TSO, MUR), and ag. chemicals (CF, DD, AGU, MOS). The best consumer groups are auto parts (LEA, BWA), processed & packaged goods (CAG, PEP, MKC), and cigarettes (RAI, MO). Concentrate on money center banks (PNC, JPM, BNS, BK, WFC), P&C insurers (ACGL, ALL, XL, RE, CNA), and insurance brokers (AJG) in financials. In healthcare, buy healthcare plans. Every industrials group scores strongly, led by farm & construction machinery (AGCO, CAT, DE), aerospace/defense (COL, BA, GD), and diversified machinery (ITW, IR). Lodging, restaurants (DRI, QSR), and grocery stores (KR) are best in services. The top technology groups are semi ICs, semi equipment & materials, and communication equipment (GLW, QCOM). 

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Disclosure: None.

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Chee Hin Teh 4 years ago Member's comment

thanks for sharing. Merry christmas