Index Technicals (Bearish) Diverge To Price

Markets posted gains sufficient to close breakdown gaps - sufficient to negate these gaps as breakdowns - but leaving indices stuck in broader trading ranges.

The Russell 2000 (IWM) is a case in point. Today saw a 'sell' trigger for On-Balance-Volume, following on from 'sell' triggers in Stochastics and +DI/-DI. Only the MACD is hanging on, but it's close to a 'sell' trigger from below the bullish zero line. Price action was more bullish, but the 50-day MA remains as resistance.


The S&P has a 50:50 mix of bullish and bearish technicals: The MACD and Stochastics are bullish, On-Balance-Volume and +DI/-DI are bearish. The tie-breaker is bullish relative outperformance of the S&P to the Nasdaq. Today's price action closed Friday's breakdown gap.


The Nasdaq is the more bearish of the indices. It has 'sell' triggers in the MACD, On-Balance-Volume and +DI/-DI with stochastics close to completing the set. Since breaking trend in December it has been moving in a sideways pattern with 20-day and 50-day MAs converging. As with the Russell 2000 ($IWM) and S&P, it has managed to close Friday's breakdown gap, but the index is likely to struggle from here.


The Dow Industrials Average sits at an interesting juncture. There is a shorting opportunity if you are a bear as the index again tags what was once support, now resistance. It may be a slow burner though, and take a few days ot play out. Going against this is the net bullish play in technicals.


After the two positive days we have seen I suspect tomorrow will be one of consolidation. Even with potential bearish setups I will be looking for narrow range days (doji or spinning tops). It's unlikely to be one to easily day-trade.


More By This Author:

Markets Look To Fill Gaps As Uneasy Calm Descends
Dow Industrial Average Surges As Semiconductors Plunge
Decision Time Breaks In Bulls Favor For Russell 2000
How did you like this article? Let us know so we can better customize your reading experience.

Comments

Leave a comment to automatically be entered into our contest to win a free Echo Show.
Or Sign in with