'Goldilocks' Is Dead - Stocks Plunge Most Since Lehman Before Sudden Buying-Panic
Remember January's "Goldilocks" market?
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Well it's gone...
Video length: 00:00:03
The Short-Vol trade implosion has now spread to the rest of the world and all other asset classes.
China had one of its ugliest weeks ever...
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Europe was ugly...
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But US equities were a bloodbath...even wuith the sudden mysterious buyer of last resort who panic-bid stocks up (after the S&P broke below its 200DMA)...
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Dow futures were lifted 100 points off the lows today...
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Also of note is that this panic-bid lifted the major equities out of correction...
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Stocks were on target for their worst week for US equities since Lehman in Oct 2008... (worst 2-week drop since Feb 2009)
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But after the S&P hit its 200DMA, everything bounced miraculously...
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The Dow saw well over 12,000 points worth of intraday swings this week...
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This the worst swing in momentum... ever...
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And the biggest swing in equity flows ever...record inflow 2 weeks ago to record outflow from equity funds this week
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Risk started to spread to other asset classes too...
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The biggest drawdowns so far:
- XIV (Inverse VIX ETF) -96.5%
- Bitcoin -65% (from Jan highs)
- China 'Big Caps' SSE50 -15%
- Shanghai Composite -14.6%
- WTI Crude -12.9%
- Nikkei 225 -12.6%
- Dow -12.2%
- S&P -11.8%
- Nasdaq -11.7%
- DAX -11.6%
- FANG Stocks -11.1%
- EM Debt -9.9%
- EU Stocks (BE500) -8.7%
- Mexico Stocks -8.1%
- 30Y UST Futures -7.7%
- Brazilian Real -6.3%
- Risk Parity Fund proxy -6.2%
- HY Bonds (HYG) -4.5%
- Gold -4.2%
- Euro -2.5%
- Offshore Yuan -1.9%
This is the worst 10-day drop for aggregate bond and stocks returns since Feb 2009...
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Credit markets started to scream today as spreads spiked...
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Flashing another big red flag that this is far from over...
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Lots of chatter about how "bonds are blowing out" and driving equities lower... well no! only the 30Y is wider on the week! and the short-end is well lower in yield on the week...
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The key that is crushing stocks is the 2.85% region...
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The Dollar Index was up most in 2 months this week, hovering at pre-Mnuchin Massacre levels...
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Some crazy moves this week in Offshore Yuan...
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Dollar strength sent commodities lower on the week with crude and copper the biggest laggards...
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(NOTE WTI futures were hit every day this week around the US cash open)
WTI dropped below $60 and broke below its 50DMA...
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Cryptos actually rebounded notably in the second half of the week after the US regulatory hearings went better than expected, with Litecoin leading...
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Interestingly Bitcoin and VIX decoupled as the stress remained in equity markets...
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CNBC's Bob Pisani is "very encouraged" by today's action.
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It used to be too quiet according to Lloyd Blankfein.