Through June:

A comparison of conventional year-on-year vs. instantaneous.

Figure 1: Food at home CPI component, y/y (blue), instantaneous per Eeckhout (2023), T=12, a=4 (red). Source: BLS and author’s calculations.

The Midwest and subregion East North Central (which includes Wisconsin) are showing modest declines q/q.

Figure 2: Food at home component of CPI national (blue), Midwest (B/C cities) green, and East North Central (tan), all in logs, 2021M01=0. Midwest and East North Central series seasonally adjusted by author using X-13 log transformed. Source: BLS, and author’s calculations.

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