EUR/USD Inches Higher To Near 1.0930, Focus On US Inflation Data

Bank Note, Euro, Bills, Paper Money

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  • EUR/USD rebounds on Tuesday after registering losses in the previous sessions.
  • CME FedWatch Tool suggests a 55.2% probability of a 25 bps rate cut for June.
  • The market expects German inflation to be unchanged in February.

EUR/USD has bounced back following two consecutive days of losses, making gains and approaching the 1.0930 mark during Tuesday's Asian session. However, the pair encountered resistance amid a risk-averse atmosphere ahead of the release of the Consumer Price Index (CPI) data from the United States (US).

Market expectations point to an increase in the US CPI for February month-over-month, although the yearly index is predicted to remain unchanged. A robust CPI report would likely dampen prospects of an imminent rate cut by the Federal Reserve (Fed), potentially strengthening the US Dollar (USD) and presenting challenges for the EUR/USD pair.

As per the CME FedWatch Tool, there has been a slight decline in the likelihood of a 25 basis points (bps) rate reduction in March and May, with probabilities at 3.0% and 21.9%, respectively. The probability of a 25 bps rate cut has decreased to 55.2% for June.

Meanwhile, European Central Bank (ECB) President Christine Lagarde has taken a cautious approach, emphasizing the necessity for more evidence before contemplating rate adjustments. The ECB has chosen to maintain its existing monetary policy, reaffirming its dedication to guiding inflation back within its desired parameters.

The ECB has articulated its intention to uphold appropriately stringent policy measures for as long as necessary to reach its inflation objective. The optimistic outlook surrounding the ECB could offer bolstering for the Euro, thereby supporting the EUR/USD pair. Tuesday's release of Consumer Price Index (CPI) data from Germany is likely to capture the attention of investors.


Today last price 1.0934
Today Daily Change 0.0008
Today Daily Change % 0.07
Today daily open 1.0926


Daily SMA20 1.0832
Daily SMA50 1.0854
Daily SMA100 1.0845
Daily SMA200 1.0835


Previous Daily High 1.0948
Previous Daily Low 1.0914
Previous Weekly High 1.0981
Previous Weekly Low 1.0838
Previous Monthly High 1.0898
Previous Monthly Low 1.0695
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 1.0927
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 1.0935
Daily Pivot Point S1 1.0911
Daily Pivot Point S2 1.0896
Daily Pivot Point S3 1.0877
Daily Pivot Point R1 1.0944
Daily Pivot Point R2 1.0963
Daily Pivot Point R3 1.0978

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