Dow Jones And S&P 500 Cratered - APAC And EU Stocks Likely To Follow

US stocks sank on Friday after Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell delivered remarks from the Jackson Hole Economic Symposium. The Fed chief didn’t throw the markets any huge surprises, although you wouldn’t know that from the market reaction.

Pixabay

The benchmark S&P 500Nasdaq-100, and Dow Jones Industrial Average traded fell 3.37%, 4.10%, and 3.03%, respectively.

Mr. Powell’s commentary was preceded by the July personal consumption expenditures (PCE) price index update, which crossed the wires at an annual rate of 6.3%. The core gauge—a Fed favorite that strips out food and energy costs—rose 4.6% y/y, below the 4.7% y/y Bloomberg consensus. The easing in prices is encouraging news for the economy and much welcomed by monetary policymakers.

However, that didn’t stop Mr. Powell from keeping a tight grip on hawkish policy expectations. The central bank chief would be doing the economy a disservice by letting his guard down at the first signs of cooling prices. The market still punished equity prices, however. A multi-week rally that started back in June likely pushed stock prices too high. Mr. Powell stated on Friday that "The historical record cautions strongly against prematurely loosening policy.”

An overreaction? Or is the market appropriately pricing in risks from interest rates that are likely to not only go higher but stay higher for longer? Overnight index swaps and Fed funds futures both reflect higher and longer-lasting interest rates, effectively squashing the pivot thesis that drove equity strength over the past several months.

Asia-Pacific markets, although dealing with their slate of regionally-specific factors stemming largely from China, will offer the first sign if Friday’s risk-off Wall Street session is going to bleed over into broader market sentiment. It likely will. Europe, also with its own set of problems, will follow. A stronger US Dollar adds another headwind for European and APAC markets. The US Dollar DXY climbed nearly 0.5% Friday after Powell’s speech.

 


More By This Author:

Canadian Dollar Forecast: USDCAD Points Higher Following Jerome Powell’s Jackson Hole Speech
US Dollar Forecast: Will Another Non-Farm Payrolls Print Offer A Tight Labor Market?
EUR/USD Latest: ECB Minutes Fail To Lift EUR, Hawkish Fed Ahead Of Policy Event

Disclosure: See the full disclosure for DailyFX here.

How did you like this article? Let us know so we can better customize your reading experience.

Comments

Leave a comment to automatically be entered into our contest to win a free Echo Show.