Brent Crude In Its Second Leg Up Off The Bottom, Targets Higher Prices

Last January Brent Crude completed an 81.4% correction off the record high of $146.08 reached in 2008 when it found a low at $27.13. Since then Brent has advanced as much as 111.9% as of the $57.50 high hit last week. It looks like there’s a good chance that Brent can continue to strengthen and is not yet done with its initial recovery.

Three weeks ago Brent broke out of a five-month sideways consolidation channel with a strong wide range candle that closed above the consolidation and near the high for the week. It is now well above the 55-week exponential moving average (ema), and the 21-week ema has crossed above the 55-week ema, for the first time since August 2014.

The next primary intermediate target is the completion of a measured move around $67.24, which is close to the 200-week ema, now at $67.11. That’s where the second leg up in the uptrend off the January low matches the advance in the first leg up. The next higher target zone would be from approximately $69.59 (prior peak) to $71.40 (50% retracement of the downtrend starting from the 2014 peak). 

Retracements back towards support of the recent consolidation zone will likely see strength as buyers step up in anticipation of a continuation of the uptrend. 

Disclaimer: The views and opinions expressed here are solely those of the authors / contributors and do not necessarily reflect the views ...

How did you like this article? Let us know so we can better customize your reading experience. Users' ratings are only visible to themselves.


Leave a comment to automatically be entered into our contest to win a free Echo Show.