Big Picture Update On Commodities & Precious Metals

Some monthly charts of interest in the commodity sector, including precious metals.

CRB Index dwells below key resistance. A break of 200 would target around 250 in 2018.

crb

CRB/SPX Ratio shows the utter devastation of the Goldilocks era of Central Bank inflation with no apparent consequences. This is not likely to last.

crb/spx

WTI Crude Oil sits below resistance at 62-63, with a target of 75.

wtic

 

NatGas is a basket case non-starter. The first step would be to break the red dashed line. After that, lots of overhead.

natgas

 

Industrial Metals have been a favored area for a would-be inflation phase in 2018. The chart explains why.

gyx

 

Copper broke through resistance and turned it green through multiple tests of the 2.90 area. It measures to approximately 3.80/lb.

copper

 

GKX could bounce with the sector but there is no technical sign that it is preparing to do so. Our long-held support (buy) target is 240 +/- for Agri.

gkx

 

Uranium Participation, which holds u3o8, bounced on supply cut news but is at massive long-term resistance.

u.to

 

Palladium approaches all-time highs. Is this a 4th Horseman? The other 3 Amigos are also riding. You may recall that in early 2013 we cross-referenced a bullish Palladium/Gold ratio with bullish fundamental signs in the Semi Equipment sector to project a firming economy. Voila… and now we wait for all the happy stuff to finish up.

pall

 

Platinum has been in lockdown since the last commodity cycle blew out in 2011. This precious commodity could be a good play for 2018.

plat

 

Gold stopped at the resistance that should have stopped it (that would be the gateway to a confirmed bull phase) and has inched back down the wedge. Ho hum… gold is fine.

gold

 

Silver is fine too, in that it has not gone anywhere yet and held the trend line (which I expect to remain the case if a firm commodity view plays out in first half 2018).

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Whatever awaits us, I look forward to continuing to interpret and manage it successfully for NFTRH subscribers’ ...

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