Bank Loan Volumes Tumble Despite Surge In Deposits, Money-Markets Funds Hit New Record High
After two weeks of relatively quiet flows, last week saw a massive $64BN inflow into money-market funds - the biggest inflows since the SVB crisis - to a new record high...
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Source: Bloomberg
Both retail and institutional funds saw massive inflows last week...
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Source: Bloomberg
The Fed's balance sheet continued to contract, down $46BN last week to its lowest since June 2021...
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Source: Bloomberg
But banks' usage of The Fed's emergency funding facility remains at its record high around $108BN...
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Source: Bloomberg
So with banks balance sheets being plugged - and after last week's crazy divergence between SA and NSA deposit flows - we wait with baited breath for what The Fed has in store for us this week...
On a seasonally adjusted basis, total deposits jumped $40BN last week (following the prior week's $48BN SA inflow), back to its highest since the SVB crisis...
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Source: Bloomberg
For once, non-seasonally-adjusted deposits went in the same direction, with a $52BN inflow - after last week's $85BN outflow...
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Source: Bloomberg
And removing foreign bank flows, domestic banks saw inflows on both an SA and NSA basis...
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Source: Bloomberg
The gap between SA and NSA deposit outflows since SVB remain high (around $116BN)...
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Source: Bloomberg
On the other side of the ledger, despite the big deposit inflows, both large and small banks saw loan volumes decline...
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Source: Bloomberg
The key warning sign continues to trend lower (Small Banks' reserve constraint), supported above the critical level by The Fed's emergency funds (for now)...
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After an ugly week (for bonds), following an ugly month and even uglier quarter...
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...we sure hope these banks are making plans to fill the $108BN hole in their balance sheets they are filling with expensive Fed loans.
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