5 Value Picks In The Finance Sector Pre-Rate Hike

Investors have been waiting long for the Federal Reserve to hike the interest rate. In September, the Fed refrained from raising the rate due to a sluggish Chinese economy and low U.S. inflation rate.

Nevertheless, October data from the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis painted a rosy picture of the economy. The report stressed that in October, the economy grew at a higher-than-expected rate. The nonfarm payrolls increased 271,000, a steep rise from August and September figures; the unemployment rate dropped to 5%; and most importantly, average hourly earnings jumped 9 cents, marking a monthly gain of 0.6% and annualized gain of 2.5%.

Nevertheless, a still-low inflation rate is one of the factors that might bar Fed from raising the rate. On Aug 27, 2015, the government reported core inflation growth rate of 1.2%, which is below the target inflation growth rate of 2%.

However, the positive macro-economic data, particularly the gains in average hourly earnings, which is directly related to the inflation rate, has brightened the possibility a rate hike at the next Fed meeting in Dec 2015.

‘Value’ a Saving Grace to Nullify Rate Hike

The anticipated rise in interest rate is likely to add volatility to the market. Although it has been seen historically that once the rate hike actually hits, the repercussions are not as dramatic. Nevertheless, an increase in interest rate produces wide and varied impact on the economy.

As the rate rises, cost of borrowing increases and the amount of money in circulation reduces, which in turn, keeps the inflation rate at a low level. Higher borrowing costs adversely affect businesses dependent upon huge debts, and thereby lower earnings. This renders the equity market a little less attractive for investors. Nonetheless, it should be noted that rate of interest is not the only factor that determines the price of a stock.

Given the possibility of a rate hike, it is wise to bet on the safety of value stocks, i.e. to identify the stocks that are truly trading at a discount. As for sector specification, it is relatively safer to put your money in the finance sector. This is because, owing to the very nature of their business, finance industries such as banking, insurance, asset managers and brokerage firms are likely to gain from an interest rate hike.

5 Value Stocks from the Finance Sector

We have chosen 5 finance stocks that are currently well placed to gain from a rate hike. For selecting these stocks, we have used our style score system.

Our research shows that stocks with Value Style Scores of ‘A,’ when combined with a Zacks Rank #1 or 2 (Strong Buy or Buy), offer the best investment opportunities in the value investing space.

Aspen Insurance Holdings Ltd. (AHL - Snapshot Report), headquartered in Hamilton, Bermuda, provides property and casualty reinsurance in the global market, property and liability insurance principally in the U.K. and surplus lines insurance in the U.S.

Zacks Rank #1
Value Score: ‘A’

Based in, Reno, NV, Employers Holdings, Inc. (EIG - Snapshot Report) is an accident and health insurance provider in the U.S. The company markets its products through independent local, regional, and national agents and brokers, as well as through strategic partnerships and alliances.

Zacks Rank #1
Value Score: ‘A’

Headquartered in Arlington, VA, Arlington Asset Investment Corp. (AI - Snapshot Report) is a financial investment brokerage firm. It primarily invests in mortgage-related and other assets.

Zacks Rank #2
Value Score: ‘A’

McGrath Rentcorp (MGRC - Snapshot Report), headquartered in Livermore, CA, is a financial leasing service provider. The company rents and sells modular buildings, electronic test equipment, and liquid & solid containment tanks and boxes in the U.S. as well as internationally.

Zacks Rank #2
Value Score: ‘A’

Based in Tampa, FL, HCI Group, Inc. (HCI - Snapshot Report) is a casualty and property insurance company. The firm conducts its business operations through subsidiaries.

Zacks Rank #1
Value Score: ‘A’

 

Disclosure: Zacks.com contains statements and statistics that have ...

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