Three Big Breakouts Despite Fed’s Market Chilling
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Our favorite crypto chaos wizard, Jerome Powell, momentarily turned Bitcoin into a pumpkin, sending it tumbling below $96K briefly.
Wall Street also caught the spook. Ethereum dropped 14.1%, Dogecoin tumbled a brutal 25.2%, and Solana slid 15.2% in the last week. But amidst the carnage, Hyperliquid (HYPE) skyrocketed 66.1%, Movement (MOVE) climbed 34.5%, and Bitget Token (BGB) rose 29.6%.
Sound familiar? That’s because Powell’s got us all living in a loop.
When J-Powell got-to-yapping yesterday, it wasn’t just to announce a 0.25% rate cut. He also announced the Fed had revised their plan of 3 rate cuts in 2025, down to 2 – and that their new targeted inflation rate would be 2.5% instead of 2.1%.
His comments imply loans/credit repayments will stay higher than previously expected in 2025 → encouraging folks to spend less, in an attempt to keep inflation down. |
(And by raising their target inflation rate up to 2.5%, they’re subtly admitting they’re struggling to control it). |
But here’s the thing – it’s all theatre. |
They might change their mind again in a few months (they often do). |
The trick of it all is: simply by saying they’re making fewer rate cuts next year, they can get people selling assets, cooling down the market, and buying time to see if the data changes… |
‘Cause everyone was already expecting a pause on cuts in January, and the Fed doesn’t meet in February – so by the time March’s meeting rolls around, the market could once again be ready for 3 cuts. |
This week, we’re talking: |
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The Volatility Index, better known as the VIX or Wall Street’s “fear gauge,” just threw one of its trademark tantrums—spiking to its second-highest level ever. |
Panic? Doesn’t feel like it, at least if you don’t go to bed every night staring at the VIX. |
But for Bitcoin, it might mean opportunity. |
The VIX-Bitcoin Tango
Historically, when the VIX surges, investors flee to safer havens like cash, gold… and increasingly, Bitcoin. |
This wasn’t always the case, as BTC was seen as a wildly volatile alternative asset historically. |
However, in today’s day and age, a rising VIX, signaling stock market chaos, often nudges Bitcoin into the spotlight as a non-traditional hedge. |
According to Bloomberg, Bitcoin’s correlation with the S&P 500 has recently hit a two-year low, hinting at a growing role as a portfolio stabilizer. |
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Take October 2023: the VIX soared by 35%, fueled by geopolitical strife and inflation jitters. |
The last time we saw such a spike? Bitcoin rallied 20% over the following six months. |
Correlation or causation? Will history repeat itself? If nothing else, it’s another chapter in Bitcoin’s narrative as a volatility sponge for jittery investors. |
What’s this mean for you? |
As we’re sure you’re familiar with, Bitcoin has its own mood swings. Whether the VIX calms down or continues its wild ride, we may see a near future where this Wall Street barometer might clue you in on Bitcoin’s next big move. |
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