Verizon Communications Inc DCF Valuation: Is The Stock Undervalued?
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As part of a new series, each week we typically conduct a DCF on one of the companies in our screens. This week we thought we’d take a look at one of the stocks that is currently on our screens, Verizon Communications Inc (VZ).
Profile
Wireless services account for about 70% of Verizon Communications’ total service revenue and nearly all of its operating income. The firm serves about 93 million postpaid and 20 million prepaid phone customers via its nationwide network, making it the largest US wireless carrier. Fixed-line telecom operations include local networks in the Northeast, which reach about 30 million homes and businesses and serve about 8 million broadband customers. Verizon also provides telecom services nationwide to enterprise customers, often using a mixture of its own and other carriers’ networks. Verizon agreed to acquire Frontier Communications in September 2024.
Recent Performance
Over the past twelve months, the share price is up 6.19%.
Source: Google Finance
Inputs
- Discount Rate: 5%
- Terminal Growth Rate: 1%
- WACC: 5%
Forecasted Free Cash Flows (FCFs)
Year | FCF (billions) | PV(billions) |
2024 | 17.63 | 16.79 |
2025 | 17.71 | 16.06 |
2026 | 17.79 | 15.37 |
2027 | 17.87 | 14.70 |
2028 | 17.94 | 14.06 |
Terminal Value
Terminal Value = FCF * (1 + g) / (r – g) = 452.99 billion
Present Value of Terminal Value
PV of Terminal Value = Terminal Value / (1 + WACC)^5 = 354.93 billion
Present Value of Free Cash Flows
Present Value of FCFs = ∑ (FCF / (1 + r)^n) = 76.98 billion
Enterprise Value
Enterprise Value = Present Value of FCFs + Present Value of Terminal Value = 431.91 billion
Net Debt
Net Debt = Total Debt – Total Cash = 169.22 billion
Equity Value
Equity Value = Enterprise Value – Net Debt = 262.69 billion
Per-Share DCF Value
Per-Share DCF Value = Enterprise Value / Number of Shares Outstanding = $62.17
Conclusion
DCF Value | Current Price | Margin of Safety |
---|---|---|
$62.17 | $39.82 | 35.95% |
Based on the DCF valuation, the stock is undervalued. The DCF value of $62.17 per share is higher than the current market price of $39.82. The Margin of Safety is 35.95%.
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