Verizon Communications Inc DCF Valuation: Is The Stock Undervalued?

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As part of a new series, each week we typically conduct a DCF on one of the companies in our screens. This week we thought we’d take a look at one of the stocks that is currently on our screensVerizon Communications Inc (VZ).


Profile

Wireless services account for about 70% of Verizon Communications’ total service revenue and nearly all of its operating income. The firm serves about 93 million postpaid and 20 million prepaid phone customers via its nationwide network, making it the largest US wireless carrier. Fixed-line telecom operations include local networks in the Northeast, which reach about 30 million homes and businesses and serve about 8 million broadband customers. Verizon also provides telecom services nationwide to enterprise customers, often using a mixture of its own and other carriers’ networks. Verizon agreed to acquire Frontier Communications in September 2024.


Recent Performance

Over the past twelve months, the share price is up 6.19%.

Source: Google Finance


Inputs

  • Discount Rate: 5%
  • Terminal Growth Rate: 1%
  • WACC: 5%


Forecasted Free Cash Flows (FCFs)

Year FCF (billions) PV(billions)
2024 17.63 16.79
2025 17.71 16.06
2026 17.79 15.37
2027 17.87 14.70
2028 17.94 14.06


Terminal Value

Terminal Value = FCF * (1 + g) / (r – g) = 452.99 billion


Present Value of Terminal Value

PV of Terminal Value = Terminal Value / (1 + WACC)^5 = 354.93 billion


Present Value of Free Cash Flows

Present Value of FCFs = ∑ (FCF / (1 + r)^n) = 76.98 billion


Enterprise Value

Enterprise Value = Present Value of FCFs + Present Value of Terminal Value = 431.91 billion


Net Debt

Net Debt = Total Debt – Total Cash = 169.22 billion


Equity Value

Equity Value = Enterprise Value – Net Debt = 262.69 billion


Per-Share DCF Value

Per-Share DCF Value = Enterprise Value / Number of Shares Outstanding = $62.17


Conclusion

DCF Value Current Price Margin of Safety
$62.17 $39.82 35.95%

Based on the DCF valuation, the stock is undervalued. The DCF value of $62.17 per share is higher than the current market price of $39.82. The Margin of Safety is 35.95%.


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