“Tis The Season” Stock Market (And Sentiment Results)
On Tuesday morning I joined Stuart Varney on Fox Business to discuss the implications of a Republican Sweep Election on markets. Thanks to Stuart and Christian Dagger for having me on.
Here were my notes ahead of the segment:
(Click on image to enlarge)
During earnings season I try to cover 1-2 stocks that we have discussed on our podcast|videocast(s) and/or hold in client portfolios/personally/beneficially:
ETSY
We announced this new holding on our podcast|videocast several weeks ago (current blended basis ~$49.36).
(Click on image to enlarge)
(Click on image to enlarge)
Q3 results:
Bank of America Fund Manager Survey Update
On Tuesday, we put out a summary of the monthly Bank of America “Global Fund Manager Survey.” This month they surveyed institutional managers with ~$503B AUM:
Here were the key points:
1. It is a positive (not a negative) that managers think CPI will be higher next year than this year. It is the same at each cycle trough – that precedes a growth recovery (2009, 2001, etc):
(Click on image to enlarge)
2. Sentiment is improving but not yet euphoric:
(Click on image to enlarge)
3. Managers dramatically underweight Materials and Energy:
(Click on image to enlarge)
4. Long Gold is getting very crowded:
(Click on image to enlarge)
5. Managers starting to get out of Japanese equities:
(Click on image to enlarge)
General Market
The CNN “Fear and Greed” rose from 58 last week to 68 this week. You can learn how this indicator is calculated and how it works here: (Video Explanation)
The NAAIM (National Association of Active Investment Managers Index) (Video Explanation) rose to 88.31% this week from 82.53% equity exposure last week.
(Click on image to enlarge)
More By This Author:
“A New Day” Stock Market (And Sentiment Results)
“Pay And Play” Stock Market (And Sentiment Results)
“Tale Of Two Cities” Stock Market (And Sentiment Results)
Long all mentioned tickers
Disclaimer: Not investment advice. For educational purposes only: Learn more at more