Three Biggest DOGE Stock Picks (So Far)
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The Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE) is not just another bureaucratic initiative—it’s a market-moving force that is reshaping the way money flows through the economy. I’ve been watching this closely, and what I see is a fundamental shift in government spending that is creating clear winners and losers. This isn’t about small adjustments; we’re talking about massive structural changes that are forcing government agencies to do more with less.
So what happens when the government slashes bloated programs and reallocates funds toward modernization? We see volatility. We see rotations. We see inefficiencies getting exposed. And most importantly, we see certain companies positioning themselves to take full advantage of this shift.
Here’s how I break it down:
- If you’re in AI, defense technology, cybersecurity, or automation—you’re winning.
- If you’re reliant on outdated government contracts, legacy infrastructure, or social programs—you’re losing.
Institutional money is already reacting, and I’m telling you right now, a lot of it is moving out of U.S. equities and into Chinese markets and bonds.
Why? Because uncertainty creates fear, and big money is looking for safety.
But for traders who know how to read the rotations, this is where opportunity lies.
AI is No Longer a Concept—It’s the Engine of Efficiency
One of the biggest takeaways from DOGE’s restructuring efforts is that artificial intelligence is no longer a future technology—it’s the present. The government is actively cutting labor-intensive processes and replacing them with AI-driven decision-making tools, cybersecurity automation, and data analytics platforms.
That’s why I’m focusing on three stocks that are set to thrive in this environment:
I’m not picking these at random. These companies are deeply embedded in the AI and efficiency revolution, and they are uniquely positioned to capitalize on government spending priorities.
Palantir Technologies (PLTR): The AI Brain of Government and Enterprise
Palantir is the single most obvious winner in the DOGE era. Data is the new oil, and Palantir is the refinery. Government agencies are scrambling to modernize, and Palantir’s AI-driven analytics are doing the heavy lifting.
Their revenue tells the story. Last year, they pulled in $2.8 billion—$1 billion of that directly from government contracts, and an eye-popping 132% growth in U.S. commercial contracts. This is not a one-trick pony. They are expanding into defense, enterprise AI, and cybersecurity in a way that will make them one of the most important companies of the next decade.
Right now, the stock is expensive. At nearly 470x earnings, I can’t justify chasing it at these levels. But the second I see it in the $60-$75 range, I’m a buyer. That’s where the risk-reward gets really attractive, and I want to be holding Palantir for the long term.
Booz Allen Hamilton (BAH): The Government Efficiency Experts
Booz Allen has been embedded in government contracting for over a century, and they are about to get an even bigger seat at the table. This company advises the government on how to cut inefficiencies, and now that efficiency is the name of the game, they are poised for serious growth.
Let’s talk about numbers:
- $39.4 billion in contract backlog (translation: locked-in future revenue).
- 13.5% revenue growth last quarter—impressive for a government-focused firm.
- Expanding presence in AI, cybersecurity, and defense analytics.
At current levels, Booz Allen is trading at a discount relative to its growth. This is a company that makes money when the government needs to figure out how to spend money more effectively. DOGE is literally built for companies like BAH.
Lockheed Martin (LMT): AI is the Future of Defense, and They’re Leading the Charge
Most people look at Lockheed Martin and think fighter jets, missile systems, and military spending. And yes, they dominate in those areas. But what I’m looking at is Lockheed’s pivot into AI-driven defense.
Lockheed is actively developing autonomous drones, AI-enhanced logistics, and next-gen surveillance systems that will revolutionize modern warfare. That’s the kind of innovation that keeps contracts rolling in—even in a budget-cutting environment.
Now, the stock is down 10-12% year-to-date on fears of defense budget cuts. I see that as an opportunity. Here’s my take:
- The defense budget isn’t actually shrinking—it’s being reallocated toward AI and efficiency-driven projects.
- Lockheed already led all competitors in securing new government contracts.
- The stock is trading at ~$450, down from a high of ~$615.
If you’re thinking long-term, this stock could double in 3-5 years. I have a 12-month target of $550, and if the AI-driven defense expansion continues, I can easily see $900 within a few years.
How I’m Trading All of This
There’s a lot of noise out there, but the real key is following the money and staying ahead of the rotations.
- I’m not chasing AI stocks at sky-high valuations—but I’m watching for entry points.
- I’m staying away from companies tied to outdated government contracts—they’re going to bleed.
- I’m using volatility to my advantage—because these rotations create prime buying opportunities.
The bottom line? DOGE is reshaping the market. The government is cutting the fat, reallocating capital, and modernizing at a pace we haven’t seen before. That means traders who understand these shifts will win big, and those who ignore them will get left behind.
I’ve positioned myself for the AI and efficiency revolution. Are you?
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Disclaimer: This article is republished from The Conversation under a Creative Commons license.