The 13 Largest American Cannabis MSOs: A Financial Assessment

The American Cannabis Multi State Operators Index below tracks the performance of its 13 pure-play constituents for the week ending July 22nd, in descending order, since the end of May (7 weeks), and YTD with each stock's current Operating Cash Flow, Price-to Earnings (P/E) Ratio, Altman-Z Score, Piotroski F Score, Return on Equity (ROE) and Return on Assets (ROA) which should help you assess the financial health of each company, how well the company is being managed and the extent to which the company is over- or under-valued compared to its peers. (The definitions of each metric are detailed at the bottom of the article.)

  1. Planet 13 (PLNHF): +23.7% this week; +8.7% in the last 7 weeks; -45.3% YTD
    • Price/Earnings Ratio: Negative
    • Positive Operating Cash Flow: No
    • Piotroski F Score: 7Altman Z-Score: 4.2 (37% chance of financial distress)
    • Return on Equity (ROE): Negative
    • Return on Assets (ROA): Negative
    • Recent Analysis/Commentary: Go here
  2. Curaleaf (CURLF): +16.1% this week; +0.8% in the last 7 weeks; -31.8% YTD
    • Price/Earnings Ratio: Negative
    • Positive Operating Cash Flow: No
    • Piotroski F Score: 5
    • Altman Z-Score: 1.9 ((59% chance of financial distress)
    • Return on Equity (ROE): Negative
    • Return on Assets (ROA): Negative
    • Recent Analysis/Commentary: Go here
  3. Trulieve (TCNNF): +13.1% this week; -7.1% in the last 7 weeks; -47.9% YTD
    • Price/Earnings Ratio: Negative
    • Positive Operating Cash Flow: Yes (marginal)
    • Piotroski F Score: 5
    • Altman Z-Score: 1.6 (67% chance of financial distress)
    • Return on Equity (ROE): Negative
    • Return on Assets (ROA): Negative
    • Recent Analysis/Commentary: Go here
  4. Cresco (CRLBF): +10.4% this week; -5.1% in the last 7 weeks; -47.4% YTD
    • Price/Earnings Ratio: Negative
    • Positive Operating Cash Flow: Yes (marginal)
    • Piotroski F Score: 4
    • Altman Z-Score: 5.3 (71% chance of financial distress)
    • Return on Equity (ROE): Negative
    • Return on Assets (ROA): Negative
    • Recent Analysis/Commentary: Go here
  5. Green Thumb (GTBIF): +9.3% this week; -8.6% in the last 7 weeks; -53.3% YTD
    • Price/Earnings Ratio: Negative
    • Positive Operating Cash Flow: Yes - #1 (see here)
    • Piotroski F Score: 6
    • Altman Z-Score: 2.5 (i.e. 13% chance of operational distress within the next 2 years)
    • Return on Equity (ROE): Negative
    • Return on Assets (ROA): Negative
    • Recent Analysis/Commentary: Go here
  6. Verano (VRNOF): +8.3% this week; -7.7% in the last 7 weeks; -46.2% YTD
    • Price/Earnings Ratio: Negative
    • Positive Operating Cash Flow: Yes - #2
    • Piotroski F Score: 5
    • Altman Z-Score: 1.3 (59% chance of financial distress)
    • Return on Equity (ROE): Negative
    • Return on Assets (ROA): Negative
    • Recent Analysis/Commentary: Go here

The above 6 stocks were +11.9% this week; -6.9% in the last 7 weeks; -41.2% YTD as compared to the 7 less financially sound stocks in the Index which were +10.2% this week; -11.4% in the last 7 weeks; -53.7% YTD.

The remaining 7 stocks in the Index have negative price/earnings ratios, do not have positive operating cash flows, have Piotroski F Scores of 4 or less; and have Altman Z-Scores of less than 1 and, as such, are deemed by this analysis not to have very high prospects going forward. Go here for recent analyses and commentary on some of the companies. Those 7 stocks and their performances are:

  1. Acreage (ACRDF/HF):
    • +3.7% this week; -20.9% in the last 7 weeks; -40.4% YTD
  2. Ascend (AAWH):
    • -1.6% this week; -16.3% in the last 7 weeks; -61.8% YTD
  3. Ayr (AYRWF):
    • +15.1% this week; -8.1% in the last 7 weeks; -62.8% YTD
  4. Columbia Care (CCHWF):
    • +14.1% this week; -7.3% in the last 7 weeks; -37.8% YTD
  5. Goodness Growth (GDNSF):
    • +13.1% this week; -6.8% in the last 7 weeks; -19.3% YTD
  6. Jushi (JUSHF):
    • +24.3% this week; +21.5% in the last 7 weeks; -33.8% YTD
  7. TerrAscend (TRSSF):
    • +3.8% this week; -27.0% in the last 7 weeks; -55.9% YTD

In total, the munKNEE American Cannabis Multi State Operators Index was:

  • +11.4% this week, -7.8% in the last 7 weeks and is -49.5% YTD.

That compares favorably with the munKNEE Canadian Pure-Play Pot Stocks Index (see details here) which was:

  • +6.4% this week, -24.5% in the last 7 weeks and is -56.9% YTD.

We hope the above information will help you assess the financial health of each company, how well the company is being managed, and the extent to which the company is over- or under-valued compared to its peers.


Definitions:

Operating Cash Flow:

  • Is money involved directly with the production and sale of goods from ordinary operations or, in other words, money coming in through sales minus operating expenses.
  • Without positive operating cash flow a business doesn’t survive and, as such, is the best measure of a company’s financial and operational health.

Price/Earnings (P/E) Ratio:

  • Is a measure a company's share price to its earnings per share and has the most value when compared against similar companies in the same industry or for a single company across a period of time.
  • Helps one determine whether a stock is overvalued (a high P/E) or undervalued (a low P/E) and can also be benchmarked against other stocks in the same industry or against the broader market.

The Altman-Z Score:

  • Is a numerical measurement used to predict the chances of a business going bankrupt in the next two years and has an accuracy that ranges from 82% and 94%.
  • Is based on five financial ratios - profitability, leverage, liquidity, solvency, and activity. 

The Piotroski F Score:

  • Is a back-tested strategy that rates how strong the financial fundamentals are for a value stock and in back-testing of the system against the market between 1976 and 1996 the system it would have beaten the average return on the stock market by 13.4%.
  • A score of 0-3 indicates that the company has weak fundamentals while a score of 8-9 indicates a company with powerful fundamentals that are most likely to keep performing well in the future.

Return on Equity (ROE)

  • Is a measure of how many dollars of profit are generated as a percentage of each dollar of shareholder's equity and, as such, is a metric of how well the company utilizes its equity to generate profits.
  • The higher the ROE, the better a company is at converting its equity financing into profits.

Return on Assets (ROA)

  • Is a measure that indicates how profitable a company's net income is as a percentage of its total assets and, as such, factors in a company's debt while return on equity does not.
  • A higher ROA means a company is more efficient and productive at managing its balance sheet to generate profits while a lower ROA indicates there is room for improvement.

More By This Author:

The 5 Largest Canadian Cannabis LPs: A Financial Assessment
The 8 Largest Psychedelic Compounds-Based Drug Stocks: A Financial Assessment
The 7 Largest Ancillary Pot Stocks: A Financial Assessment

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