Stock Market Down Monday?

The SPX could take a plunge Monday, but the set up is there for a nice rebound into October 14. I think we finally get my False Break of the Rising Wedge and the rebound that takes us above 2200 SPX. October 14 should be the high for the year.

GDX and the gold complex are due for a nice rebound rally, but much damage has been done. A move back into the mid 26.00 area for GDX is the minimum expectation for an October 18 top. It may take a couple of more days to get kick started as the buyers are hesitant and selling into rallies.  There is also a solid green candle on the daily chart that bothers me in the very short term.  

Any selling in the stock market on a gap down Monday, with a concurrent gap up in the gold futures, will likely be a drag on the PM’s into Tuesday.

We are setting up for a nice post election sell-off:

 

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Brad Gudgeon 4 years ago Author's comment

The SPX futures are up this morning. One BIG caveat: we have yet to the see the 8 TD low and that can run +/- 2 TD. It was due Friday. The 7/14 week low runs 35/70 TD's plus or minus 10%. The 7 week low can run 38 TD's and that is due early/mid Tuesday.

The waves are hard to read, but I believe that this is a 'b' wave with 'c' to come to the down side. The 16 TD top for the SPX is due Friday/Monday.

The gold market is running as I thought.