S&P 500 Snapshot: Brief Reprieve, But Back To The Bear

The S&P 500 briefly went back into non-bear territory (above 20% below its all-time high) for 3 days this week, only to drop back down. Despite this, the index closed the day up 1.36% from Thursday and is about down 21% YTD, with only 8 weeks left in the year.

S&P 500

The U.S. Treasury puts the closing yield on the 10-year note as of November 4 at 4.17% which is above its record low (0.52% on 8/4/2020). The 2-year note is at 4.66%. See our latest Treasury Snapshot here.

S&P 500

Here's a snapshot of the index going back to 2012.


A Perspective on Drawdowns

Here's a snapshot of record highs and selloffs since the 2009 trough. Note the recent selloffs in 2022.

S&P 500 Drawdowns

Here's a table with the number of days of a 1% or more change in either direction and the number of days of corrections (down 10% or more from the record high) going back to 2013.

Here is a more conventional log-scale chart with drawdowns highlighted.

S&P 500 MAs

Here is a linear scale version of the same chart with the 50- and 200-day moving averages.

S&P 500 MAs


A Perspective on Volatility

For a sense of the correlation between the closing price and intraday volatility, the chart below overlays the S&P 500 since 2007 with the intraday price range. We've also included a 20-day moving average to help identify trends in volatility.


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