Primary Cycle Update: It's A Bull Market

Good Monday. After careful consideration, I have decided to make a change to the presentation of our market models and my oftentimes meandering morning market missives.

It has been brought to my attention that many websites now publish the number of minutes required to read the article. My brother, Mike, who is a skilled professional photographer at Michael Moenning Photography informed me last week that, according to LinkedIn, my report was an "18-minute read."

As you might suspect, my reaction to this news wasn't positive. In fact, I was horrified. The bottom line is I personally wouldn't want to spend 18 minutes reading ANYTHING - even if I did happen to be the author!

So, in keeping with the times, I've decided to create a series of more concise, bite-sized reports, which will be published on a daily basis. I've come up with the following publishing schedule:

  • Market Model Monday - A review of my key market models designed to indicate the state of the primary market cycle
  • Technical Tuesday - An analysis of the current state of the market's trend and momentum
  • Early Warning Wednesday - An examination the potential for counter-trend moves
  • Thesis Thursday - My take on the key market drivers (or whatever else may be running through my mind)
  • Fundamental Friday - A look of the state of the market's fundamental factors

It is my sincere hope that you find the new schedule easier to consume and more beneficial to your investing endeavors.

Primary Cycle Market Models

We start each week with a review of the primary stock market cycles and our favorite long-term market models. The idea is to enter the week with a clear understanding of what type of market we are dealing with.

The Current State of the Primary Stock Market Cycles

(Click on image to enlarge)

* Source: Ned Davis Research (NDR) as of the date of publication. Historical returns are hypothetical average annual performances calculated by NDR. Past performances do not guarantee future results or profitability - NOT INDIVIDUAL INVESTMENT ADVICE.

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Disclosure: At the time of publication, Mr. Moenning held long positions in the following securities mentioned: none - Note that positions may change at any time.

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