Markets Shifting Net Bearish In Technical Strength

Cutout paper illustration representing scheme and Stocks inscription

Image Source: Pexels

There were early signs of recovery for some markets, but now all lead markets are showing net bearish technicals.

If you are a trading bull looking for silver linings, the Russell 2000 (IWM) successfully tested its 200-day MA yesterday and left with a 'bear trap' today. There was a 'bull' cross in On-Balance-Volume and in relative performance against the Nasdaq. But I wouldn't be buying the porsche on this. The 20-day MA as resistance for the Santa Rally and could prove to be resistance again by the end of week.

The S&P may also come away with a 'bear trap' but today's 'black' candlestick finished on the deciding line. There was a new 'buy' signal in On-Balance-Volume along with a relative performance uptick against the Nasdaq.

The Nasdaq is on a clear breakdown with net bearish technicals, but it's not oversold, so further losses are likely.

The canary in the coal mine is the Semiconductor Index. It did a combination break of trend and moving average support in November, and it has been meandering below these moving averages since the break. Technicals are net bearish but like the Nasdaq are not oversold.

The 'bear traps' in the Russell 2000 and S&P will be vulnerable to any losses tomorrow; 'bear traps' should remain distinct relative to support and not get challenged. If markets do rally tomorrow then look for 20-day MAs as end-of-week targets.


More By This Author:

Bad Day At The Office For Markets
Looking Ahead To 2025; 12 Charts To Track
Russell 2000 Recorded Accumulation Day As Technicals Turned Net Bearish
How did you like this article? Let us know so we can better customize your reading experience.

Comments

Leave a comment to automatically be entered into our contest to win a free Echo Show.
Or Sign in with