Macro Briefing - Wednesday, Jan. 22
US equities rose for a second day, lifting the S&P 500 Index closer to its record-high close posted in December. “President Trump’s Inauguration Day policy announcements on tariffs were more benign than expected,” wrote Alec Phillips, chief US political economist at Goldman Sachs, in a note to clients yesterday. Jamie Cox, managing partner at Harris Financial Group, says the market “seems to have overcome its tariff tantrum.”
(Click on image to enlarge)
Trump says he’s considering a 10% tariff on China beginning for Feb. 1. “We’re talking about a tariff of 10% on China based on the fact that they’re sending fentanyl to Mexico and Canada,” the president said on Tuesday. “Probably Feb. 1 is the date we’re looking at.”
Trump highlights new joint venture investing up to $500 billion in AI, funded by a new partnership with OpenAI, Oracle and SoftBank. The Stargate project will start building data centers and the electricity generation needed at a site in Texas, according to the White House. The initial investment is expected to be $100 billion.
Trump signs executive order that ends Biden-era electric vehicle targets. The order revokes unspent government funds for EV charging stations and ends a waiver allowing states to ban internal-combustion cars by 2035.
The US Securities and Exchange Commission will launch a cryptocurrency-focused task force to formulate ways to regulate the market. Acting SEC Chair Mark Uyeda says the task force will be dedicated to developing a “comprehensive and clear” regulatory framework for crypto assets.
US GDP growth in next week’s fourth-quarter report from the government is expected to post a pickup to a strong 3.6% increase, according to a revised nowcast published by TMC Research, a division of The Milwaukee Company, a wealth manager: “The sharp upward revision from the previous estimate on Dec. 10 should be viewed cautiously. As always with nowcasts and forecasts, there’s a wide range of uncertainty around the point estimate. But the fact that a wide range of published economic data that’s used to generate the nowcast indicates a strong pace of growth for Q4 suggests that recession risk is low and US output ended 2024 with a vigorous tailwind.”
More By This Author:
Commodities Take Early Lead For Asset Classes So Far In 2025Macro Briefing - Tuesday, Jan. 21
Will Trump’s Tariffs Help Or Hurt The Effort To Tame Inflation?
Disclosure: None.