JPMorgan earnings are due out on Friday and the seasonal moves are quite interesting.
From a seasonal perspective the stock leans towards gains in the second half of April before a much weaker period over the summer months.
Analysts are expecting large US banks like JPMorgan (JPM), Citi (C), Wells Fargo (WFC) and Bank of America (BAC) to announce customers withdrew billions of dollars in deposits at the start of 2023. So, one area to watch closely this earnings seasons for banks is what are customers doing with their deposits. If customers withdrew more deposits than expected this can reduce the bank’s capacity for lending. However, analysts expect revenues to increase for JPMorgan due to continued expectations of an uptick in retail operations activity.
If there are some surprises in the amount of outflows from big banks the seasonal pattern could indicate a weak time ahead for stocks. Could this weigh on JP Morgan’s share prices post earnings as we head into the summer?
Major Trade Risks:
The major trade risk here is that the outlook for banks is strong and inflows from the SVB Bank (SIVB) collapse offset the customer deposit outflows from the start of the year.
Disclaimer: Past results and past seasonal patterns are no indication of future performance, in particular, future market trends. seasonax GmbH neither recommends nor approves of any particular ...
Disclaimer: Past results and past seasonal patterns are no indication of future performance, in particular, future market trends. seasonax GmbH neither recommends nor approves of any particular financial instrument, group of securities, segment of industry, analysis interval or any particular idea, approach, strategy or attitude nor provides consulting nor brokerage nor asset management services. seasonax GmbH hereby excludes any explicit or implied trading recommendation, in particular, any promise, implication or guarantee that profits are earned and losses excluded, provided, however, that in case of doubt, these terms shall be interpreted in abroad sense. Any information provided by seasonax GmbH or on this website or any other kind of data media shall not be construed as any kind of guarantee, warranty or representation, in particular as set forth in a prospectus. Any user is solely responsible for the results or the trading strategy that is created, developed or applied. Indicators, trading strategies and functions provided by seasonax GmbH or on this website or any other kind of data media may contain logical or other errors leading to unexpected results, faulty trading signals and/or substantial losses. seasonax GmbH neither warrants nor guarantees the accuracy, completeness, quality, adequacy or content of the information provided by it or on this website or any other kind of data media. Any user is obligated to comply with any applicable capital market rules of the applicable jurisdiction. All published content and images on this website or any other kind of data media are protected by copyright. Any duplication, processing, distribution or any form of utilisation beyond the scope of copyright law shall require the prior written consent of the author or authors in question. Futures and forex trading contains substantial risk and is not for every investor. An investor could potentially lose all or more than the initial investment. Risk capital is money that can be lost without jeopardizing ones’ financial security or lifestyle. Only risk capital should be used for trading and only those with sufficient risk capital should consider trading. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Testimonials appearing on this website may not be representative of other clients or customers and is not a guarantee of future performance or success.
