Is The Fed About To Crash The Markets? And Why Would It Do This?
Yesterday I warned that the Fed is “pulling the plug” on the markets. The explanation for this is simple. The primary driver of the stock market since the March bottom has been the extraordinary amount of liquidity the Fed has pumped into the financial system
All told the Fed has printed over $3 trillion and funneled it into the financial system since February.
This is what has pushed stocks straight up week after week.
Which is why everyone should be concerned that the Fed has stopped doing this. Indeed, as I noted yesterday, the Fed has shrunk its balance sheet since the beginning of June.
It is not coincidence that the S&P 500 peaked around that date.
Which is why yesterday’s Fed release should give every investor “pause.”
Yesterday the Fed revealed that it shrank its balance sheet by a whopping $88 billion. Of this, $46 billion was in currency swaps (this is to be expected). Which means…
The Fed drained $42 billion in liquidity from the financial system last week. This comes on the heels of the $24 billion the Fed drained from the system the week before.
What do you think will happen to stocks when they wake up to the fact the Fed isn’t providing weekly liquidity pumps to the tune of $25 billion or more?
Hint: it won’t be pretty.
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The FED has been piling on debt like it would never come due, and the result for the longer term will be inflation.
And there are two big problems with debt, the first, and most obvious, is that eventually it must be paid off. The second problem is that occasionally somebody who must be answered will ask "How are you going to pay that?" and there will be no answer found. Very embarrassing indeed. And bound to spoil the party.