Is Tesla On The Move?

 Image source: Grok
 

We are currently sitting as I type this at 444.50 in the premarket, a very solid $13+ run up post earnings and news yesterday. In after-hours trading following the earnings release, the stock rose more significantly, with reports showing gains, reflecting positive market reaction despite mixed financials. Under $442 we go bearish again. But for now, the stock is aiming for 450 and then 458 for a solid reversal. Bulls need to prove themselves now. But the results of yesterday brought the bulls back to the arena.  Key Earnings Highlights (Q4 2025):

Adjusted earnings per share: Beat expectations (e.g., ~$0.50–$0.60 vs. estimates around $0.45).
Revenue: ~$24.9–$25.7 billion (mixed reports; some noted a slight miss on consensus ~$25.1B, but overall considered a beat on EPS).
Full-year 2025: Revenue declined ~3% YoY to ~$94.8B (first-ever annual revenue decline), net profit dropped sharply (e.g., ~46% to $3.8B), reflecting challenges like lower sales and competition.
Other notes: Profit fell significantly YoY in Q4 (e.g., ~61% in some reports), but investors focused on forward-looking aspects. Tesla (TSLA) plans massive capital expenditures (~$20B in 2026) focused on autonomy, robotaxis, Optimus humanoid robots, and AI.
Elon Musk confirmed Tesla will phase out production of Model S and Model X (ending in Q2 2026), shifting factory resources (e.g., to Optimus production). Support for existing vehicles continues. Emphasis on pivot to robotics/AI, including $2B investment in xAI.

The market reacted positively overall to the earnings beat and futuristic vision (autonomy/robotics focus), overriding some concerns about declining auto revenue. I am currently holding the $440 Feb 20th, Calls, and I continue to buy the stock over time under $450. I believe as Tesla performs, we're on our way to new highs. Either way, we could swing $10-$20 either way, that's how Tesla rolls until it's firm on direction. Does Tesla have the infrastructure ready for massive upside changes? Did Elon inspire and promote Tesla well?  So far, it's looking that way, let's see if sentiment fades and profits lag or if Tesla grabs the opportunity and performs to expectation or better. 

He boasts that everyone on earth will have a robot,  FSD is on the move, he's solving power problems, and is pushing over 2B in xAI.  " We're in an interesting time in history " Elon said, and yes we are I agree.

I personally cannot wait to buy a Tesla Optimus robot; if I can get one in 2026, the stock will well exceed all time highs, and I'll prob match the cost of the robot with a purchase of the stock as well. 


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Disclaimer: This is not financial advice, I am not a financial advisor. Please do your own due diligence.

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Bill Myers 1 hour ago Member's comment
Given Tesla’s mixed fundamentals — declining auto revenue but strong beat on earnings per share — how sustainable is the current stock rally if the company’s pivot to autonomy, robotics, and AI doesn’t accelerate revenue growth?